Skip to content

1984 vs 1988 presidential election: swing by state

Nationally the popular vote went from R+18.2 in 1984 to R+7.8 in 1988. 2 of 51 states moved toward the Republican ticket and 9 changed hands.

Alabama: swing D+3.0Alaska: swing D+13.5Arizona: swing D+12.7Arkansas: swing D+8.0California: swing D+12.7Colorado: swing D+20.5Connecticut: swing D+16.8Delaware: swing D+7.5District of Columbia: swing R+3.3Florida: swing D+8.3Georgia: swing D+0.1Hawaii: swing D+20.8 (flipped)Idaho: swing D+19.9Illinois: swing D+10.8Indiana: swing D+3.8Iowa: swing D+17.6 (flipped)Kansas: swing D+20.4Kentucky: swing D+9.0Louisiana: swing D+12.4Maine: swing D+10.6Maryland: swing D+2.6Massachusetts: swing D+10.6 (flipped)Michigan: swing D+11.1Minnesota: swing D+6.8Mississippi: swing D+3.6Missouri: swing D+16.1Montana: swing D+16.4Nebraska: swing D+20.8Nevada: swing D+12.9New Hampshire: swing D+11.6New Jersey: swing D+7.3New Mexico: swing D+15.5New York: swing D+12.1 (flipped)North Carolina: swing D+7.8North Dakota: swing D+18.0Ohio: swing D+7.9Oklahoma: swing D+21.3Oregon: swing D+16.8 (flipped)Pennsylvania: swing D+5.0Rhode Island: swing D+15.4 (flipped)South Carolina: swing D+4.1South Dakota: swing D+20.1Tennessee: swing R+0.1Texas: swing D+14.9Utah: swing D+15.7Vermont: swing D+13.6Virginia: swing D+4.7Washington: swing D+14.6 (flipped)West Virginia: swing D+15.3 (flipped)Wisconsin: swing D+12.8 (flipped)Wyoming: swing D+19.8Vermont: swing D+13.6New Hampshire: swing D+11.6Massachusetts: swing D+10.6 (flipped)Rhode Island: swing D+15.4 (flipped)Connecticut: swing D+16.8New Jersey: swing D+7.3Delaware: swing D+7.5Maryland: swing D+2.6District of Columbia: swing R+3.3
Red: moved toward the Republican ticket. Blue: toward the Democratic ticket. Darker means a bigger swing.

Every state

Download CSV
State19841988SwingFlipped
District of Columbia D+71.7 D+68.4 R+3.3
Tennessee R+16.3 R+16.3 R+0.1
Georgia R+20.4 R+20.3 D+0.1
Maryland R+5.5 R+2.9 D+2.6
Alabama R+22.3 R+19.3 D+3.0
Mississippi R+24.5 R+20.8 D+3.6
Indiana R+24.0 R+20.2 D+3.8
South Carolina R+28.0 R+23.9 D+4.1
Virginia R+25.2 R+20.5 D+4.7
Pennsylvania R+7.4 R+2.3 D+5.0
Minnesota D+0.2 D+7.0 D+6.8
New Jersey R+20.9 R+13.6 D+7.3
Delaware R+19.9 R+12.4 D+7.5
North Carolina R+24.0 R+16.3 D+7.8
Ohio R+18.8 R+10.9 D+7.9
Arkansas R+22.2 R+14.2 D+8.0
Florida R+30.7 R+22.4 D+8.3
Kentucky R+20.6 R+11.6 D+9.0
Maine R+22.1 R+11.5 D+10.6
Massachusetts R+2.8 D+7.9 D+10.6 Republican → Democratic
Illinois R+12.9 R+2.1 D+10.8
Michigan R+19.0 R+7.9 D+11.1
New Hampshire R+37.7 R+26.1 D+11.6
New York R+8.0 D+4.1 D+12.1 Republican → Democratic
Louisiana R+22.6 R+10.2 D+12.4
Arizona R+33.9 R+21.2 D+12.7
California R+16.3 R+3.6 D+12.7
Wisconsin R+9.2 D+3.6 D+12.8 Republican → Democratic
Nevada R+33.9 R+20.9 D+12.9
Alaska R+36.8 R+23.3 D+13.5
Vermont R+17.1 R+3.5 D+13.6
Washington R+13.0 D+1.6 D+14.6 Republican → Democratic
Texas R+27.5 R+12.6 D+14.9
West Virginia R+10.5 D+4.7 D+15.3 Republican → Democratic
Rhode Island R+3.7 D+11.7 D+15.4 Republican → Democratic
New Mexico R+20.5 R+5.0 D+15.5
Utah R+49.8 R+34.2 D+15.7
Missouri R+20.0 R+4.0 D+16.1
Montana R+22.3 R+5.9 D+16.4
Connecticut R+21.9 R+5.1 D+16.8
Oregon R+12.2 D+4.7 D+16.8 Republican → Democratic
Iowa R+7.4 D+10.2 D+17.6 Republican → Democratic
North Dakota R+31.0 R+13.1 D+18.0
Wyoming R+42.3 R+22.5 D+19.8
Idaho R+46.0 R+26.1 D+19.9
South Dakota R+26.5 R+6.3 D+20.1
Kansas R+33.7 R+13.2 D+20.4
Colorado R+28.3 R+7.8 D+20.5
Nebraska R+41.7 R+21.0 D+20.8
Hawaii R+11.3 D+9.5 D+20.8 Republican → Democratic
Oklahoma R+37.9 R+16.7 D+21.3

Margins are Republican share minus Democratic share of all votes counted. Swing is the change in that margin; “R+3” means the state moved three points toward the Republican ticket.

Official results As published by The American Presidency Project (UC Santa Barbara) and the state documents it links. How we use this data