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Bellwether states

How often each state voted for the national winner.

Alabama: 10 of 17 (58.8%)Alaska: 10 of 17 (58.8%)Arizona: 11 of 17 (64.7%)Arkansas: 13 of 17 (76.5%)California: 11 of 17 (64.7%)Colorado: 12 of 17 (70.6%)Connecticut: 11 of 17 (64.7%)Delaware: 13 of 17 (76.5%)District of Columbia: 7 of 16 (43.8%)Florida: 14 of 17 (82.4%)Georgia: 11 of 17 (64.7%)Hawaii: 10 of 17 (58.8%)Idaho: 10 of 17 (58.8%)Illinois: 12 of 17 (70.6%)Indiana: 11 of 17 (64.7%)Iowa: 12 of 17 (70.6%)Kansas: 10 of 17 (58.8%)Kentucky: 13 of 17 (76.5%)Louisiana: 12 of 17 (70.6%)Maine: 10 of 17 (58.8%)Maryland: 11 of 17 (64.7%)Massachusetts: 10 of 17 (58.8%)Michigan: 13 of 17 (76.5%)Minnesota: 9 of 17 (52.9%)Mississippi: 10 of 17 (58.8%)Missouri: 14 of 17 (82.4%)Montana: 11 of 17 (64.7%)Nebraska: 10 of 17 (58.8%)Nevada: 15 of 17 (88.2%)New Hampshire: 12 of 17 (70.6%)New Jersey: 12 of 17 (70.6%)New Mexico: 13 of 17 (76.5%)New York: 11 of 17 (64.7%)North Carolina: 13 of 17 (76.5%)North Dakota: 10 of 17 (58.8%)Ohio: 15 of 17 (88.2%)Oklahoma: 10 of 17 (58.8%)Oregon: 10 of 17 (58.8%)Pennsylvania: 14 of 17 (82.4%)Rhode Island: 10 of 17 (58.8%)South Carolina: 11 of 17 (64.7%)South Dakota: 10 of 17 (58.8%)Tennessee: 13 of 17 (76.5%)Texas: 11 of 17 (64.7%)Utah: 10 of 17 (58.8%)Vermont: 11 of 17 (64.7%)Virginia: 11 of 17 (64.7%)Washington: 9 of 17 (52.9%)West Virginia: 11 of 17 (64.7%)Wisconsin: 13 of 17 (76.5%)Wyoming: 10 of 17 (58.8%)Vermont: 11 of 17 (64.7%)New Hampshire: 12 of 17 (70.6%)Massachusetts: 10 of 17 (58.8%)Rhode Island: 10 of 17 (58.8%)Connecticut: 11 of 17 (64.7%)New Jersey: 12 of 17 (70.6%)Delaware: 13 of 17 (76.5%)Maryland: 11 of 17 (64.7%)District of Columbia: 7 of 16 (43.8%)
Darker states backed the national winner more often since 1960.
StateBacked the winnerRateCurrent streakMissed in
Nevada 15 of 17 88% 2 1976, 2016
Ohio 15 of 17 88% 1 1960, 2020
Pennsylvania 14 of 17 82% 5 1968, 2000, 2004
Florida 14 of 17 82% 1 1960, 1992, 2020
Missouri 14 of 17 82% 1 2008, 2012, 2020
Michigan 13 of 17 77% 5 1968, 1976, 2000, 2004
Wisconsin 13 of 17 77% 5 1960, 1988, 2000, 2004
Arkansas 13 of 17 77% 1 1968, 2008, 2012, 2020
Kentucky 13 of 17 77% 1 1960, 2008, 2012, 2020
North Carolina 13 of 17 77% 1 1992, 1996, 2012, 2020
Tennessee 13 of 17 77% 1 1960, 2008, 2012, 2020
Delaware 13 of 17 77% 0 2000, 2004, 2016, 2024
New Mexico 13 of 17 77% 0 1976, 2000, 2016, 2024
Iowa 12 of 17 71% 1 1960, 1976, 1988, 2000, 2020
Louisiana 12 of 17 71% 1 1964, 1968, 2008, 2012, 2020
Colorado 12 of 17 71% 0 1960, 1976, 1996, 2016, 2024
Illinois 12 of 17 71% 0 1976, 2000, 2004, 2016, 2024
New Hampshire 12 of 17 71% 0 1960, 1976, 2004, 2016, 2024
New Jersey 12 of 17 71% 0 1976, 2000, 2004, 2016, 2024
Arizona 11 of 17 65% 3 1960, 1964, 1976, 1992, 2008, 2012
Georgia 11 of 17 65% 3 1964, 1968, 1980, 1996, 2008, 2012
Indiana 11 of 17 65% 1 1960, 1976, 1992, 1996, 2012, 2020
Montana 11 of 17 65% 1 1960, 1976, 1996, 2008, 2012, 2020
South Carolina 11 of 17 65% 1 1964, 1992, 1996, 2008, 2012, 2020
Texas 11 of 17 65% 1 1968, 1992, 1996, 2008, 2012, 2020
West Virginia 11 of 17 65% 1 1968, 1980, 1988, 2008, 2012, 2020
California 11 of 17 65% 0 1960, 1976, 2000, 2004, 2016, 2024
Connecticut 11 of 17 65% 0 1968, 1976, 2000, 2004, 2016, 2024
Maryland 11 of 17 65% 0 1968, 1980, 2000, 2004, 2016, 2024
New York 11 of 17 65% 0 1968, 1988, 2000, 2004, 2016, 2024
Vermont 11 of 17 65% 0 1960, 1976, 2000, 2004, 2016, 2024
Virginia 11 of 17 65% 0 1960, 1976, 1992, 1996, 2016, 2024
Alabama 10 of 17 59% 1 1964, 1968, 1992, 1996, 2008, 2012, 2020
Alaska 10 of 17 59% 1 1960, 1976, 1992, 1996, 2008, 2012, 2020
Idaho 10 of 17 59% 1 1960, 1976, 1992, 1996, 2008, 2012, 2020
Kansas 10 of 17 59% 1 1960, 1976, 1992, 1996, 2008, 2012, 2020
Mississippi 10 of 17 59% 1 1964, 1968, 1992, 1996, 2008, 2012, 2020
Nebraska 10 of 17 59% 1 1960, 1976, 1992, 1996, 2008, 2012, 2020
North Dakota 10 of 17 59% 1 1960, 1976, 1992, 1996, 2008, 2012, 2020
Oklahoma 10 of 17 59% 1 1960, 1976, 1992, 1996, 2008, 2012, 2020
South Dakota 10 of 17 59% 1 1960, 1976, 1992, 1996, 2008, 2012, 2020
Utah 10 of 17 59% 1 1960, 1976, 1992, 1996, 2008, 2012, 2020
Wyoming 10 of 17 59% 1 1960, 1976, 1992, 1996, 2008, 2012, 2020
Hawaii 10 of 17 59% 0 1968, 1980, 1988, 2000, 2004, 2016, 2024
Maine 10 of 17 59% 0 1960, 1968, 1976, 2000, 2004, 2016, 2024
Massachusetts 10 of 17 59% 0 1968, 1972, 1988, 2000, 2004, 2016, 2024
Oregon 10 of 17 59% 0 1960, 1976, 1988, 2000, 2004, 2016, 2024
Rhode Island 10 of 17 59% 0 1968, 1980, 1988, 2000, 2004, 2016, 2024
Minnesota 9 of 17 53% 0 1968, 1980, 1984, 1988, 2000, 2004, 2016, 2024
Washington 9 of 17 53% 0 1960, 1968, 1976, 1988, 2000, 2004, 2016, 2024
District of Columbia 7 of 16 44% 0 1968, 1972, 1980, 1984, 1988, 2000, 2004, 2016, 2024

More insights

Official results As published by The American Presidency Project (UC Santa Barbara) and the state documents it links. How we use this data