Skip to content

1912 vs 1916 presidential election: swing by state

Nationally the popular vote went from D+18.6 in 1912 to D+3.1 in 1916. 39 of 48 states moved toward the Republican ticket and 20 changed hands.

Alabama: swing R+7.8AlaskaArizona: swing R+9.2Arkansas: swing D+4.1California: swing R+40.9 (flipped)Colorado: swing D+5.1Connecticut: swing R+6.4 (flipped)Delaware: swing R+16.1 (flipped)District of ColumbiaFlorida: swing R+10.7Georgia: swing R+0.1HawaiiIdaho: swing D+9.9Illinois: swing R+22.4 (flipped)Indiana: swing R+20.9 (flipped)Iowa: swing R+24.6 (flipped)Kansas: swing R+13.0Kentucky: swing R+17.5Louisiana: swing D+7.0Maine: swing R+23.0 (flipped)Maryland: swing R+16.9Massachusetts: swing R+7.5 (flipped)Michigan: swing R+8.1 (flipped)Minnesota: swing R+12.7 (flipped)Mississippi: swing D+1.4Missouri: swing R+14.0Montana: swing D+7.3Nebraska: swing R+7.7Nevada: swing R+6.9New Hampshire: swing R+2.0New Jersey: swing R+32.4 (flipped)New Mexico: swing R+2.8New York: swing R+19.6 (flipped)North Carolina: swing R+30.9North Dakota: swing R+6.1Ohio: swing R+6.5Oklahoma: swing D+6.2Oregon: swing R+11.6 (flipped)Pennsylvania: swing R+24.1 (flipped)Rhode Island: swing R+8.6 (flipped)South Carolina: swing R+0.6South Dakota: swing R+46.0 (flipped)Tennessee: swing R+15.2Texas: swing R+3.9Utah: swing D+25.8 (flipped)Vermont: swing R+14.6Virginia: swing R+14.2Washington: swing R+0.8 (flipped)West Virginia: swing R+21.9 (flipped)Wisconsin: swing R+15.0 (flipped)Wyoming: swing D+11.1Vermont: swing R+14.6New Hampshire: swing R+2.0Massachusetts: swing R+7.5 (flipped)Rhode Island: swing R+8.6 (flipped)Connecticut: swing R+6.4 (flipped)New Jersey: swing R+32.4 (flipped)Delaware: swing R+16.1 (flipped)Maryland: swing R+16.9District of Columbia
Red: moved toward the Republican ticket. Blue: toward the Democratic ticket. Darker means a bigger swing.

Every state

Download CSV
State19121916SwingFlipped
South Dakota D+42.1 R+3.9 R+46.0 Progressive → Republican
California D+41.2 D+0.3 R+40.9 Progressive → Democratic
New Jersey D+20.7 R+11.7 R+32.4 Democratic → Republican
North Carolina D+47.3 D+16.4 R+30.9
Iowa D+13.3 R+11.3 R+24.6 Democratic → Republican
Pennsylvania D+10.0 R+14.0 R+24.1 Progressive → Republican
Maine D+19.0 R+4.0 R+23.0 Democratic → Republican
Illinois D+13.2 R+9.2 R+22.4 Democratic → Republican
West Virginia D+21.0 R+0.9 R+21.9 Democratic → Republican
Indiana D+20.0 R+1.0 R+20.9 Democratic → Republican
New York D+12.6 R+7.0 R+19.6 Democratic → Republican
Kentucky D+22.9 D+5.4 R+17.5
Maryland D+24.9 D+8.0 R+16.9
Delaware D+13.6 R+2.4 R+16.1 Democratic → Republican
Tennessee D+28.8 D+13.6 R+15.2
Wisconsin D+8.4 R+6.6 R+15.0 Democratic → Republican
Vermont R+12.7 R+27.2 R+14.6
Virginia D+49.0 D+34.7 R+14.2
Missouri D+17.6 D+3.7 R+14.0
Kansas D+18.8 D+5.9 R+13.0
Minnesota D+12.6 R+0.1 R+12.7 Progressive → Republican
Oregon D+9.0 R+2.6 R+11.6 Democratic → Republican
Florida D+61.9 D+51.2 R+10.7
Arizona D+31.0 D+21.8 R+9.2
Rhode Island D+3.5 R+5.1 R+8.6 Democratic → Republican
Michigan R+0.2 R+8.3 R+8.1 Progressive → Republican
Alabama D+61.6 D+53.8 R+7.8
Nebraska D+22.0 D+14.3 R+7.7
Massachusetts D+3.6 R+3.9 R+7.5 Democratic → Republican
Nevada D+23.8 D+17.0 R+6.9
Ohio D+14.1 D+7.7 R+6.5
Connecticut D+3.3 R+3.1 R+6.4 Democratic → Republican
North Dakota D+7.6 D+1.5 R+6.1
Texas D+63.3 D+59.5 R+3.9
New Mexico D+6.7 D+3.9 R+2.8
New Hampshire D+2.1 D+0.1 R+2.0
Washington D+5.1 D+4.2 R+0.8 Progressive → Democratic
South Carolina D+94.9 D+94.3 R+0.6
Georgia D+72.4 D+72.2 R+0.1
Mississippi D+86.5 D+87.9 D+1.4
Arkansas D+34.6 D+38.6 D+4.1
Colorado D+20.9 D+26.0 D+5.1
Oklahoma D+11.2 D+17.4 D+6.2
Louisiana D+72.0 D+79.0 D+7.0
Montana D+11.9 D+19.2 D+7.3
Idaho D+1.1 D+10.9 D+9.9
Wyoming D+1.8 D+12.9 D+11.1
Utah R+4.8 D+21.0 D+25.8 Republican → Democratic

Margins are Republican share minus Democratic share of all votes counted. Swing is the change in that margin; “R+3” means the state moved three points toward the Republican ticket.

Official results As published by The American Presidency Project (UC Santa Barbara) and the state documents it links. How we use this data