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1940 vs 1944 presidential election: swing by state

Nationally the popular vote went from D+9.9 in 1940 to D+7.5 in 1944. 42 of 48 states moved toward the Republican ticket and 4 changed hands.

Alabama: swing R+7.8AlaskaArizona: swing R+9.6Arkansas: swing R+17.3California: swing R+2.6Colorado: swing R+4.3Connecticut: swing R+1.8Delaware: swing R+0.5District of ColumbiaFlorida: swing R+7.4Georgia: swing R+5.4HawaiiIdaho: swing R+5.6Illinois: swing D+1.0Indiana: swing R+4.2Iowa: swing R+0.1Kansas: swing R+6.6Kentucky: swing R+5.9Louisiana: swing R+10.6Maine: swing R+2.7Maryland: swing R+13.7Massachusetts: swing R+0.9Michigan: swing D+1.3 (flipped)Minnesota: swing D+1.7Mississippi: swing R+4.4Missouri: swing R+1.8Montana: swing R+9.3Nebraska: swing R+2.8Nevada: swing R+10.9New Hampshire: swing R+2.2New Jersey: swing R+2.3New Mexico: swing R+6.3New York: swing D+1.4North Carolina: swing R+14.6North Dakota: swing D+2.5Ohio: swing R+4.8 (flipped)Oklahoma: swing R+3.8Oregon: swing R+3.2Pennsylvania: swing R+4.1Rhode Island: swing D+3.8South Carolina: swing R+8.0South Dakota: swing R+1.8Tennessee: swing R+13.7Texas: swing R+6.8Utah: swing R+3.6Vermont: swing R+4.3Virginia: swing R+11.6Washington: swing R+3.0West Virginia: swing R+4.4Wisconsin: swing R+3.6 (flipped)Wyoming: swing R+8.4 (flipped)Vermont: swing R+4.3New Hampshire: swing R+2.2Massachusetts: swing R+0.9Rhode Island: swing D+3.8Connecticut: swing R+1.8New Jersey: swing R+2.3Delaware: swing R+0.5Maryland: swing R+13.7District of Columbia
Red: moved toward the Republican ticket. Blue: toward the Democratic ticket. Darker means a bigger swing.

Every state

Download CSV
State19401944SwingFlipped
Arkansas D+57.4 D+40.1 R+17.3
North Carolina D+48.1 D+33.4 R+14.6
Maryland D+17.4 D+3.7 R+13.7
Tennessee D+34.9 D+21.2 R+13.7
Virginia D+36.5 D+25.0 R+11.6
Nevada D+20.2 D+9.2 R+10.9
Louisiana D+71.8 D+61.2 R+10.6
Arizona D+27.5 D+17.9 R+9.6
Montana D+18.6 D+9.4 R+9.3
Wyoming D+5.9 R+2.5 R+8.4 Democratic → Republican
South Carolina D+91.3 D+83.2 R+8.0
Alabama D+70.9 D+63.1 R+7.8
Florida D+48.0 D+40.6 R+7.4
Texas D+61.6 D+54.8 R+6.8
Kansas R+14.5 R+21.1 R+6.6
New Mexico D+13.3 D+7.0 R+6.3
Kentucky D+15.2 D+9.2 R+5.9
Idaho D+9.1 D+3.5 R+5.6
Georgia D+69.9 D+64.5 R+5.4
Ohio D+4.4 R+0.4 R+4.8 Democratic → Republican
West Virginia D+14.2 D+9.8 R+4.4
Mississippi D+91.5 D+87.1 R+4.4
Vermont R+9.9 R+14.1 R+4.3
Colorado R+2.6 R+6.8 R+4.3
Indiana R+1.4 R+5.7 R+4.2
Pennsylvania D+6.9 D+2.8 R+4.1
Oklahoma D+15.2 D+11.4 R+3.8
Utah D+24.7 D+21.0 R+3.6
Wisconsin D+1.8 R+1.8 R+3.6 Democratic → Republican
Oregon D+8.1 D+4.8 R+3.2
Washington D+17.6 D+14.6 R+3.0
Nebraska R+14.4 R+17.2 R+2.8
Maine R+2.3 R+5.0 R+2.7
California D+16.1 D+13.5 R+2.6
New Jersey D+3.6 D+1.4 R+2.3
New Hampshire D+6.4 D+4.2 R+2.2
South Dakota R+14.8 R+16.7 R+1.8
Missouri D+4.8 D+2.9 R+1.8
Connecticut D+7.1 D+5.4 R+1.8
Massachusetts D+6.8 D+5.8 R+0.9
Delaware D+9.7 D+9.1 R+0.5
Iowa R+4.4 R+4.5 R+0.1
Illinois D+2.4 D+3.5 D+1.0
Michigan R+0.3 D+1.0 D+1.3 Republican → Democratic
New York D+3.6 D+5.0 D+1.4
Minnesota D+3.8 D+5.6 D+1.7
North Dakota R+10.9 R+8.4 D+2.5
Rhode Island D+13.6 D+17.3 D+3.8

Margins are Republican share minus Democratic share of all votes counted. Swing is the change in that margin; “R+3” means the state moved three points toward the Republican ticket.

Official results As published by The American Presidency Project (UC Santa Barbara) and the state documents it links. How we use this data