Skip to content

Kentucky 2000 vs 2004: county swing

97 of 120 counties moved toward the Republican ticket; 15 changed hands.

Ohio County: swing R+3.0Owen County: swing R+1.8Owsley County: swing D+5.3Pulaski County: swing R+5.3Scott County: swing R+7.1Todd County: swing R+9.3Washington County: swing D+1.0Allen County: swing R+7.4Barren County: swing R+7.3Bourbon County: swing R+9.7Breathitt County: swing R+2.9Butler County: swing R+1.0Carter County: swing D+6.2Clinton County: swing R+4.6Elliott County: swing D+11.0Gallatin County: swing R+10.1Green County: swing D+4.1Hart County: swing R+1.2Henry County: swing R+6.0Johnson County: swing R+9.7Knox County: swing R+11.7Lincoln County: swing R+8.4Lyon County: swing R+8.9Madison County: swing R+5.6Marshall County: swing R+9.3Metcalfe County: swing D+1.9Morgan County: swing D+7.0Jefferson County: swing EvenJessamine County: swing R+4.2Larue County: swing R+6.4Lee County: swing R+0.7Lewis County: swing D+3.6Livingston County: swing R+11.9McCracken County: swing R+10.6Magoffin County: swing D+3.5Martin County: swing R+11.5Mercer County: swing R+8.9Monroe County: swing R+2.1Montgomery County: swing R+3.0Nelson County: swing R+5.0Pendleton County: swing R+6.3Perry County: swing R+8.7Robertson County: swing D+5.3Rowan County: swing D+6.2Russell County: swing R+3.8Taylor County: swing R+4.3Trigg County: swing R+13.2Wayne County: swing R+4.2Webster County: swing R+12.2Wolfe County: swing D+16.8Woodford County: swing R+2.7Bath County: swing D+11.7Bell County: swing R+15.3Boone County: swing R+4.3Breckinridge County: swing R+2.6Bullitt County: swing R+10.5Calloway County: swing R+8.4Carlisle County: swing R+12.3Carroll County: swing R+6.3Casey County: swing R+4.4Cumberland County: swing D+2.9Estill County: swing R+0.4Fayette County: swing D+0.2Floyd County: swing R+7.4Garrard County: swing R+4.2Graves County: swing R+10.4Grayson County: swing R+4.2Hancock County: swing D+0.2Harrison County: swing R+9.3Henderson County: swing R+14.9Hopkins County: swing R+14.5Adair County: swing R+1.7Anderson County: swing R+8.4Ballard County: swing R+16.6Boyd County: swing R+7.8Campbell County: swing R+2.2Clark County: swing R+6.2Edmonson County: swing R+0.8Fleming County: swing D+6.8Grant County: swing R+9.7Hardin County: swing R+10.4Jackson County: swing D+0.1Laurel County: swing R+6.6Leslie County: swing R+4.4McCreary County: swing R+5.8Menifee County: swing D+8.5Nicholas County: swing D+11.0Oldham County: swing R+3.3Powell County: swing R+3.1Rockcastle County: swing R+2.8Spencer County: swing R+8.3Warren County: swing R+2.6Whitley County: swing R+12.0Knott County: swing R+8.3Lawrence County: swing R+2.8Letcher County: swing R+13.6Logan County: swing R+12.9McLean County: swing R+5.4Marion County: swing D+0.9Meade County: swing R+12.3Muhlenberg County: swing R+7.4Mason County: swing R+0.9Hickman County: swing R+10.2Caldwell County: swing R+11.5Kenton County: swing R+2.2Clay County: swing R+2.1Pike County: swing R+5.3Shelby County: swing R+6.1Simpson County: swing R+11.9Trimble County: swing R+2.5Union County: swing R+15.2Boyle County: swing R+4.1Bracken County: swing D+7.1Christian County: swing R+10.5Crittenden County: swing R+10.2Daviess County: swing R+3.2Franklin County: swing R+5.8Fulton County: swing R+12.1Greenup County: swing R+6.1Harlan County: swing R+24.7
Red: toward the Republican ticket. Blue: toward the Democratic ticket.
County20002004SwingVotes 2000Votes 2004
Harlan County flipped D+3.6 R+21.1 R+24.7 10,535 11,070
Ballard County flipped D+1.5 R+15.1 R+16.6 3,770 4,177
Bell County R+7.5 R+22.8 R+15.3 10,611 11,002
Union County R+3.8 R+19.0 R+15.2 5,368 5,977
Henderson County flipped D+2.2 R+12.7 R+14.9 16,039 18,701
Hopkins County R+16.8 R+31.3 R+14.5 16,489 18,843
Letcher County flipped D+6.8 R+6.8 R+13.6 8,985 9,065
Trigg County R+19.1 R+32.3 R+13.2 5,344 6,111
Logan County R+15.7 R+28.6 R+12.9 9,332 10,644
Carlisle County R+9.9 R+22.2 R+12.3 2,593 2,845
Meade County R+19.0 R+31.3 R+12.3 9,071 10,951
Webster County R+4.1 R+16.3 R+12.2 5,072 5,547
Fulton County flipped D+5.7 R+6.4 R+12.1 2,788 2,890
Whitley County R+28.9 R+40.9 R+12.0 11,774 13,629
Livingston County R+2.3 R+14.2 R+11.9 4,230 4,706
Simpson County R+10.0 R+21.9 R+11.9 5,824 7,043
Knox County R+23.9 R+35.6 R+11.7 9,910 12,028
Caldwell County R+17.1 R+28.6 R+11.5 5,482 6,349
Martin County R+21.4 R+32.9 R+11.5 4,456 4,539
McCracken County R+12.4 R+23.0 R+10.6 26,689 29,797
Bullitt County R+25.8 R+36.3 R+10.5 22,701 28,627
Christian County R+22.6 R+33.1 R+10.5 17,773 21,015
Graves County R+12.4 R+22.8 R+10.4 14,231 16,229
Hardin County R+25.6 R+36.0 R+10.4 30,690 36,441
Crittenden County R+20.6 R+30.8 R+10.2 4,154 4,190
Hickman County R+9.9 R+20.1 R+10.2 2,124 2,342
Gallatin County R+12.0 R+22.1 R+10.1 2,459 3,073
Bourbon County R+11.7 R+21.4 R+9.7 7,102 8,217
Grant County R+25.8 R+35.5 R+9.7 7,103 8,824
Johnson County R+18.8 R+28.5 R+9.7 8,180 9,304
Harrison County R+17.2 R+26.5 R+9.3 6,611 7,731
Marshall County R+7.9 R+17.2 R+9.3 13,761 15,521
Todd County R+27.5 R+36.8 R+9.3 4,187 4,754
Lyon County R+0.3 R+9.2 R+8.9 3,420 3,925
Mercer County R+26.3 R+35.2 R+8.9 8,632 10,028
Perry County flipped D+1.9 R+6.8 R+8.7 11,000 11,655
Anderson County R+25.2 R+33.6 R+8.4 7,967 9,591
Calloway County R+15.2 R+23.6 R+8.4 13,673 15,145
Lincoln County R+27.8 R+36.2 R+8.4 7,597 8,863
Knott County D+35.9 D+27.6 R+8.3 6,458 7,394
Spencer County R+33.4 R+41.7 R+8.3 4,772 6,822
Boyd County flipped D+1.5 R+6.3 R+7.8 19,182 21,777
Allen County R+38.4 R+45.8 R+7.4 6,429 7,163
Floyd County D+32.6 D+25.2 R+7.4 15,394 17,885
Muhlenberg County flipped D+6.5 R+0.9 R+7.4 11,956 13,479
Barren County R+27.5 R+34.8 R+7.3 13,844 16,140
Scott County R+18.0 R+25.1 R+7.1 13,786 17,050
Laurel County R+45.1 R+51.7 R+6.6 18,120 22,264
Larue County R+32.0 R+38.4 R+6.4 5,179 5,968
Carroll County R+6.2 R+12.5 R+6.3 3,499 3,897
Pendleton County R+28.6 R+34.9 R+6.3 4,803 6,025
Clark County R+19.1 R+25.3 R+6.2 12,473 15,317
Greenup County R+0.4 R+6.5 R+6.1 14,663 16,435
Shelby County R+28.5 R+34.6 R+6.1 12,738 16,313
Henry County R+20.6 R+26.6 R+6.0 5,473 6,499
Franklin County flipped D+3.0 R+2.8 R+5.8 21,654 24,133
McCreary County R+39.7 R+45.5 R+5.8 4,799 5,693
Madison County R+18.5 R+24.1 R+5.6 23,666 30,707
McLean County R+11.8 R+17.2 R+5.4 4,022 4,435
Pike County D+10.5 D+5.2 R+5.3 24,935 26,770
Pulaski County R+48.5 R+53.8 R+5.3 21,541 25,516
Nelson County R+16.6 R+21.6 R+5.0 13,488 16,844
Clinton County R+50.9 R+55.5 R+4.6 4,305 4,352
Casey County R+57.8 R+62.2 R+4.4 5,469 6,321
Leslie County R+43.9 R+48.3 R+4.4 4,434 4,964
Boone County R+39.9 R+44.2 R+4.3 31,984 45,082
Taylor County R+37.2 R+41.5 R+4.3 9,051 10,295
Garrard County R+40.0 R+44.2 R+4.2 5,823 6,658
Grayson County R+37.9 R+42.1 R+4.2 8,558 10,143
Jessamine County R+36.1 R+40.3 R+4.2 15,061 18,580
Wayne County R+27.2 R+31.4 R+4.2 6,474 7,685
Boyle County R+20.9 R+25.0 R+4.1 10,326 12,490
Russell County R+50.3 R+54.1 R+3.8 7,074 7,821
Oldham County R+36.2 R+39.5 R+3.3 20,268 27,132
Daviess County R+19.9 R+23.1 R+3.2 36,240 41,483
Powell County R+5.8 R+8.9 R+3.1 4,362 4,960
Montgomery County R+8.2 R+11.2 R+3.0 8,519 10,230
Ohio County R+23.7 R+26.7 R+3.0 8,882 10,028
Breathitt County D+16.1 D+13.2 R+2.9 5,073 5,944
Lawrence County R+13.4 R+16.2 R+2.8 5,307 6,513
Rockcastle County R+53.7 R+56.5 R+2.8 5,247 6,166
Woodford County R+18.7 R+21.4 R+2.7 10,137 11,502
Breckinridge County R+29.1 R+31.7 R+2.6 7,453 8,520
Warren County R+24.5 R+27.1 R+2.6 32,975 39,711
Trimble County R+21.3 R+23.8 R+2.5 3,081 3,790
Campbell County R+25.9 R+28.1 R+2.2 33,829 40,175
Kenton County R+28.9 R+31.1 R+2.2 56,249 67,123
Clay County R+47.7 R+49.8 R+2.1 6,719 7,687
Monroe County R+57.8 R+59.9 R+2.1 5,569 5,843
Owen County R+29.1 R+30.9 R+1.8 4,070 4,741
Adair County R+50.2 R+51.9 R+1.7 7,328 7,447
Hart County R+25.3 R+26.5 R+1.2 6,019 6,784
Butler County R+47.0 R+48.0 R+1.0 5,010 5,578
Mason County R+23.7 R+24.6 R+0.9 5,873 7,079
Edmonson County R+30.9 R+31.7 R+0.8 4,995 5,481
Lee County R+38.3 R+39.0 R+0.7 2,764 2,920
Estill County R+30.6 R+31.0 R+0.4 4,710 5,575
Jefferson County D+1.6 D+1.6 Even 302,362 337,350
Jackson County R+69.6 R+69.5 D+0.1 4,855 5,178
Fayette County R+6.9 R+6.7 D+0.2 105,477 125,576
Hancock County R+14.5 R+14.3 D+0.2 3,610 4,029
Marion County R+7.8 R+6.9 D+0.9 6,176 7,354
Washington County R+34.5 R+33.5 D+1.0 4,588 5,236
Metcalfe County R+30.1 R+28.2 D+1.9 3,849 4,157
Cumberland County R+49.4 R+46.5 D+2.9 3,006 3,239
Magoffin County flipped R+3.4 D+0.1 D+3.5 5,453 5,718
Lewis County R+42.1 R+38.5 D+3.6 4,568 5,484
Green County R+53.2 R+49.1 D+4.1 4,756 5,206
Owsley County R+61.7 R+56.4 D+5.3 1,826 1,999
Robertson County R+28.9 R+23.6 D+5.3 998 1,090
Carter County flipped R+4.8 D+1.4 D+6.2 8,959 11,117
Rowan County flipped R+0.6 D+5.6 D+6.2 7,226 8,706
Fleming County R+28.4 R+21.6 D+6.8 5,179 6,203
Morgan County R+9.9 R+2.9 D+7.0 4,240 5,272
Bracken County R+39.0 R+31.9 D+7.1 3,019 3,610
Menifee County flipped R+5.8 D+2.7 D+8.5 2,249 2,528
Elliott County D+29.3 D+40.3 D+11.0 2,381 2,957
Nicholas County R+23.1 R+12.1 D+11.0 2,673 3,059
Bath County flipped R+4.8 D+6.9 D+11.7 4,473 4,919
Wolfe County flipped R+5.4 D+11.4 D+16.8 2,425 3,155

Official results As published by The American Presidency Project (UC Santa Barbara) and the state documents it links. How we use this data