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2000 vs 2004 presidential election: swing by state

Nationally the popular vote went from D+0.5 in 2000 to R+2.4 in 2004. 33 of 51 states moved toward the Republican ticket and 3 changed hands.

Alabama: swing R+10.7Alaska: swing D+5.4Arizona: swing R+4.2Arkansas: swing R+4.3California: swing R+1.9Colorado: swing D+3.7Connecticut: swing R+7.1Delaware: swing R+5.5District of Columbia: swing D+3.6Florida: swing R+5.0Georgia: swing R+4.9Hawaii: swing R+9.6Idaho: swing D+1.4Illinois: swing R+1.7Indiana: swing R+5.1Iowa: swing R+1.0 (flipped)Kansas: swing R+4.6Kentucky: swing R+4.7Louisiana: swing R+6.8Maine: swing D+3.9Maryland: swing R+3.2Massachusetts: swing R+2.1Michigan: swing R+1.7Minnesota: swing D+1.1Mississippi: swing R+2.8Missouri: swing R+3.9Montana: swing D+4.6Nebraska: swing R+4.2Nevada: swing D+1.0New Hampshire: swing D+2.6 (flipped)New Jersey: swing R+9.2New Mexico: swing R+0.9 (flipped)New York: swing R+6.7North Carolina: swing D+0.4North Dakota: swing D+0.2Ohio: swing D+1.5Oklahoma: swing R+9.3Oregon: swing D+3.7Pennsylvania: swing R+1.7Rhode Island: swing R+8.3South Carolina: swing R+1.1South Dakota: swing D+1.3Tennessee: swing R+10.4Texas: swing R+1.6Utah: swing R+5.1Vermont: swing D+10.2Virginia: swing R+0.2Washington: swing D+1.6West Virginia: swing R+6.5Wisconsin: swing D+0.2Wyoming: swing D+0.3Vermont: swing D+10.2New Hampshire: swing D+2.6 (flipped)Massachusetts: swing R+2.1Rhode Island: swing R+8.3Connecticut: swing R+7.1New Jersey: swing R+9.2Delaware: swing R+5.5Maryland: swing R+3.2District of Columbia: swing D+3.6
Red: moved toward the Republican ticket. Blue: toward the Democratic ticket. Darker means a bigger swing.

Every state

Download CSV
State20002004SwingFlippedCounties
Alabama R+14.9 R+25.6 R+10.7 County swing
Tennessee R+3.9 R+14.3 R+10.4 County swing
Hawaii D+18.3 D+8.7 R+9.6 County swing
Oklahoma R+21.9 R+31.1 R+9.3 County swing
New Jersey D+15.8 D+6.7 R+9.2 County swing
Rhode Island D+29.1 D+20.8 R+8.3 County swing
Connecticut D+17.5 D+10.4 R+7.1 County swing
Louisiana R+7.7 R+14.5 R+6.8 County swing
New York D+25.0 D+18.3 R+6.7
West Virginia R+6.3 R+12.9 R+6.5 County swing
Delaware D+13.1 D+7.6 R+5.5 County swing
Utah R+40.5 R+45.5 R+5.1 County swing
Indiana R+15.6 R+20.7 R+5.1 County swing
Florida Even R+5.0 R+5.0 County swing
Georgia R+11.7 R+16.6 R+4.9 County swing
Kentucky R+15.1 R+19.9 R+4.7 County swing
Kansas R+20.8 R+25.4 R+4.6 County swing
Arkansas R+5.5 R+9.8 R+4.3 County swing
Nebraska R+29.0 R+33.2 R+4.2 County swing
Arizona R+6.3 R+10.5 R+4.2 County swing
Missouri R+3.3 R+7.2 R+3.9
Maryland D+16.2 D+13.0 R+3.2 County swing
Mississippi R+16.9 R+19.7 R+2.8
Massachusetts D+27.3 D+25.2 R+2.1 County swing
California D+11.8 D+9.9 R+1.9 County swing
Michigan D+5.1 D+3.4 R+1.7 County swing
Illinois D+12.0 D+10.3 R+1.7 County swing
Pennsylvania D+4.2 D+2.5 R+1.7 County swing
Texas R+21.3 R+22.9 R+1.6 County swing
South Carolina R+15.9 R+17.1 R+1.1 County swing
Iowa D+0.3 R+0.7 R+1.0 Democratic → Republican County swing
New Mexico D+0.1 R+0.8 R+0.9 Democratic → Republican County swing
Virginia R+8.0 R+8.2 R+0.2 County swing
Wisconsin D+0.2 D+0.4 D+0.2 County swing
North Dakota R+27.6 R+27.4 D+0.2 County swing
Wyoming R+40.1 R+39.8 D+0.3 County swing
North Carolina R+12.8 R+12.4 D+0.4 County swing
Nevada R+3.5 R+2.6 D+1.0 County swing
Minnesota D+2.4 D+3.5 D+1.1 County swing
South Dakota R+22.7 R+21.5 D+1.3 County swing
Idaho R+39.5 R+38.1 D+1.4 County swing
Ohio R+3.6 R+2.1 D+1.5 County swing
Washington D+5.6 D+7.2 D+1.6 County swing
New Hampshire R+1.3 D+1.4 D+2.6 Republican → Democratic County swing
District of Columbia D+76.2 D+79.8 D+3.6 County swing
Colorado R+8.4 R+4.7 D+3.7 County swing
Oregon D+0.4 D+4.2 D+3.7 County swing
Maine D+5.1 D+9.0 D+3.9
Montana R+25.1 R+20.5 D+4.6 County swing
Alaska R+31.0 R+25.6 D+5.4
Vermont D+9.9 D+20.1 D+10.2 County swing

Margins are Republican share minus Democratic share of all votes counted. Swing is the change in that margin; “R+3” means the state moved three points toward the Republican ticket.

Official results As published by The American Presidency Project (UC Santa Barbara) and the state documents it links. How we use this data