Skip to content

Kentucky 2012 vs 2016: county swing

115 of 120 counties moved toward the Republican ticket; 2 changed hands.

Ohio County: swing R+20.3Owen County: swing R+21.4Owsley County: swing R+6.2Pulaski County: swing R+6.1Scott County: swing R+5.3Todd County: swing R+14.7Washington County: swing R+11.0Allen County: swing R+15.7Barren County: swing R+16.5Bourbon County: swing R+11.2Breathitt County: swing R+7.7Butler County: swing R+14.6Carter County: swing R+30.4Clinton County: swing R+9.0Elliott County: swing R+46.7Gallatin County: swing R+33.8Green County: swing R+15.6Hart County: swing R+19.6Henry County: swing R+22.2Johnson County: swing R+11.5Knox County: swing R+13.7Lincoln County: swing R+15.3Lyon County: swing R+17.0Madison County: swing R+2.2Marshall County: swing R+17.5Metcalfe County: swing R+24.6Morgan County: swing R+17.9Jefferson County: swing D+2.2Jessamine County: swing R+0.1Larue County: swing R+17.5Lee County: swing R+11.4Lewis County: swing R+26.0Livingston County: swing R+19.1McCracken County: swing R+4.7Magoffin County: swing R+11.9Martin County: swing R+11.2Mercer County: swing R+11.7Monroe County: swing R+14.1Montgomery County: swing R+14.7Nelson County: swing R+17.2Pendleton County: swing R+26.5Perry County: swing D+1.5Robertson County: swing R+27.5Rowan County: swing R+13.6Russell County: swing R+8.7Taylor County: swing R+12.0Trigg County: swing R+13.9Wayne County: swing R+14.1Webster County: swing R+20.7Wolfe County: swing R+17.7Woodford County: swing R+1.2Bath County: swing R+25.2Bell County: swing R+10.5Boone County: swing R+3.1Breckinridge County: swing R+23.9Bullitt County: swing R+14.2Calloway County: swing R+7.7Carlisle County: swing R+22.4Carroll County: swing R+28.4Casey County: swing R+10.5Cumberland County: swing R+10.0Estill County: swing R+10.3Fayette County: swing D+8.5Floyd County: swing R+14.3Garrard County: swing R+6.8Graves County: swing R+16.7Grayson County: swing R+19.7Hancock County: swing R+26.7Harrison County: swing R+14.6Henderson County: swing R+15.8Hopkins County: swing R+14.0Adair County: swing R+9.4Anderson County: swing R+15.1Ballard County: swing R+19.7Boyd County: swing R+20.7Campbell County: swing R+1.6Clark County: swing R+6.6Edmonson County: swing R+20.4Fleming County: swing R+21.6Grant County: swing R+22.8Hardin County: swing R+9.4Jackson County: swing R+6.0Laurel County: swing R+5.4Leslie County: swing D+0.5McCreary County: swing R+14.0Menifee County: swing R+30.3Nicholas County: swing R+16.6Oldham County: swing D+5.6Powell County: swing R+19.7Rockcastle County: swing R+6.8Spencer County: swing R+17.7Warren County: swing R+2.4Whitley County: swing R+9.3Knott County: swing R+6.4Lawrence County: swing R+18.2Letcher County: swing R+4.5Logan County: swing R+13.5McLean County: swing R+22.1Marion County: swing R+24.9Meade County: swing R+23.4Muhlenberg County: swing R+23.4Mason County: swing R+17.9Hickman County: swing R+21.2Caldwell County: swing R+19.3Kenton County: swing R+1.8Clay County: swing R+6.8Pike County: swing R+12.2Shelby County: swing R+5.9Simpson County: swing R+14.9Trimble County: swing R+27.9Union County: swing R+20.7Boyle County: swing R+2.8Bracken County: swing R+29.6Christian County: swing R+7.6Crittenden County: swing R+17.4Daviess County: swing R+11.1Franklin County: swing R+5.4Fulton County: swing R+16.3Greenup County: swing R+26.7Harlan County: swing R+8.1
Red: toward the Republican ticket. Blue: toward the Democratic ticket.
County20122016SwingVotes 2012Votes 2016
Elliott County flipped D+2.5 R+44.2 R+46.7 2,399 2,855
Gallatin County R+17.0 R+50.8 R+33.8 3,061 3,338
Carter County R+21.3 R+51.7 R+30.4 8,908 10,278
Menifee County R+16.8 R+47.1 R+30.3 2,598 2,779
Bracken County R+27.3 R+56.9 R+29.6 3,232 3,527
Carroll County R+10.0 R+38.4 R+28.4 3,680 3,855
Trimble County R+22.0 R+49.9 R+27.9 3,543 3,798
Robertson County R+25.5 R+53.0 R+27.5 935 1,013
Greenup County R+18.7 R+45.4 R+26.7 15,168 16,277
Hancock County R+9.2 R+35.9 R+26.7 4,134 4,295
Pendleton County R+30.7 R+57.2 R+26.5 5,534 6,007
Lewis County R+41.6 R+67.6 R+26.0 4,769 5,298
Bath County R+12.3 R+37.5 R+25.2 4,122 4,587
Marion County R+5.2 R+30.1 R+24.9 7,318 8,111
Metcalfe County R+29.9 R+54.5 R+24.6 4,184 4,620
Breckinridge County R+27.7 R+51.6 R+23.9 7,969 8,774
Meade County R+22.7 R+46.1 R+23.4 10,916 12,231
Muhlenberg County R+23.4 R+46.8 R+23.4 12,739 13,060
Grant County R+33.2 R+56.0 R+22.8 8,608 9,559
Carlisle County R+41.5 R+63.9 R+22.4 2,619 2,601
Henry County R+21.4 R+43.6 R+22.2 6,590 7,149
McLean County R+30.3 R+52.4 R+22.1 4,200 4,566
Fleming County R+32.3 R+53.9 R+21.6 5,782 6,260
Owen County R+32.3 R+53.7 R+21.4 4,557 5,001
Hickman County R+34.8 R+56.0 R+21.2 2,139 2,157
Boyd County R+16.3 R+37.0 R+20.7 19,049 20,454
Union County R+33.6 R+54.3 R+20.7 5,979 6,211
Webster County R+33.6 R+54.3 R+20.7 5,470 5,805
Edmonson County R+39.8 R+60.2 R+20.4 4,668 5,244
Ohio County R+36.1 R+56.4 R+20.3 9,646 10,398
Ballard County R+37.5 R+57.2 R+19.7 3,895 4,101
Grayson County R+39.5 R+59.2 R+19.7 9,271 10,576
Powell County R+25.5 R+45.2 R+19.7 4,481 4,957
Hart County R+29.8 R+49.4 R+19.6 6,622 7,264
Caldwell County R+35.0 R+54.3 R+19.3 5,860 5,975
Livingston County R+38.7 R+57.8 R+19.1 4,511 4,645
Lawrence County R+44.2 R+62.4 R+18.2 5,592 6,042
Mason County R+23.3 R+41.2 R+17.9 6,881 7,219
Morgan County R+37.0 R+54.9 R+17.9 4,472 4,775
Spencer County R+37.7 R+55.4 R+17.7 8,431 9,515
Wolfe County R+22.2 R+39.9 R+17.7 2,559 2,635
Larue County R+37.8 R+55.3 R+17.5 5,764 6,367
Marshall County R+34.3 R+51.8 R+17.5 15,719 16,698
Crittenden County R+48.8 R+66.2 R+17.4 3,854 4,037
Nelson County R+16.5 R+33.7 R+17.2 18,533 20,802
Lyon County R+27.0 R+44.0 R+17.0 3,839 3,962
Graves County R+39.7 R+56.4 R+16.7 15,503 16,606
Nicholas County R+24.6 R+41.2 R+16.6 2,581 2,841
Barren County R+33.3 R+49.8 R+16.5 16,568 18,488
Fulton County R+16.2 R+32.5 R+16.3 2,481 2,382
Henderson County R+11.9 R+27.7 R+15.8 18,622 19,710
Allen County R+47.5 R+63.2 R+15.7 7,100 8,096
Green County R+50.8 R+66.4 R+15.6 4,856 5,333
Lincoln County R+41.9 R+57.2 R+15.3 9,152 9,561
Anderson County R+34.0 R+49.1 R+15.1 10,320 11,422
Simpson County R+24.0 R+38.9 R+14.9 7,093 7,531
Montgomery County R+26.3 R+41.0 R+14.7 10,248 11,452
Todd County R+39.1 R+53.8 R+14.7 4,718 4,779
Butler County R+47.8 R+62.4 R+14.6 5,060 5,576
Harrison County R+29.1 R+43.7 R+14.6 7,163 7,781
Floyd County R+33.9 R+48.2 R+14.3 14,890 16,540
Bullitt County R+35.6 R+49.8 R+14.2 31,779 36,069
Monroe County R+59.6 R+73.7 R+14.1 4,746 4,991
Wayne County R+47.7 R+61.8 R+14.1 7,210 7,992
Hopkins County R+39.9 R+53.9 R+14.0 19,767 20,345
McCreary County R+61.3 R+75.3 R+14.0 5,707 5,776
Trigg County R+35.6 R+49.5 R+13.9 6,742 6,751
Knox County R+53.9 R+67.6 R+13.7 11,100 12,012
Rowan County R+7.7 R+21.3 R+13.6 7,665 8,848
Logan County R+32.6 R+46.1 R+13.5 10,510 10,899
Pike County R+50.5 R+62.7 R+12.2 23,636 24,665
Taylor County R+39.0 R+51.0 R+12.0 10,950 11,306
Magoffin County R+39.9 R+51.8 R+11.9 4,906 5,116
Mercer County R+38.8 R+50.5 R+11.7 9,939 10,585
Johnson County R+59.4 R+70.9 R+11.5 9,035 9,572
Lee County R+52.7 R+64.1 R+11.4 2,623 2,667
Bourbon County R+20.4 R+31.6 R+11.2 7,923 8,803
Martin County R+68.2 R+79.4 R+11.2 3,824 3,953
Daviess County R+21.1 R+32.2 R+11.1 42,087 45,807
Washington County R+35.0 R+46.0 R+11.0 5,219 5,636
Bell County R+51.7 R+62.2 R+10.5 9,482 9,718
Casey County R+62.7 R+73.2 R+10.5 6,091 6,439
Estill County R+46.1 R+56.4 R+10.3 5,184 5,545
Cumberland County R+56.6 R+66.6 R+10.0 2,854 3,066
Adair County R+55.1 R+64.5 R+9.4 7,600 8,233
Hardin County R+20.8 R+30.2 R+9.4 39,218 43,156
Whitley County R+57.8 R+67.1 R+9.3 13,072 13,774
Clinton County R+64.1 R+73.1 R+9.0 4,393 4,462
Russell County R+61.9 R+70.6 R+8.7 7,909 8,174
Harlan County R+64.0 R+72.1 R+8.1 10,657 10,757
Breathitt County R+35.1 R+42.8 R+7.7 5,008 5,738
Calloway County R+27.3 R+35.0 R+7.7 15,072 16,049
Christian County R+23.8 R+31.4 R+7.6 21,955 22,083
Clay County R+68.7 R+75.5 R+6.8 7,383 6,767
Garrard County R+51.5 R+58.3 R+6.8 7,077 7,623
Rockcastle County R+63.3 R+70.1 R+6.8 6,216 6,691
Clark County R+30.5 R+37.1 R+6.6 15,416 16,205
Knott County R+47.6 R+54.0 R+6.4 5,693 5,763
Owsley County R+63.0 R+69.2 R+6.2 1,580 1,759
Pulaski County R+60.6 R+66.7 R+6.1 26,003 28,041
Jackson County R+74.1 R+80.1 R+6.0 5,061 5,501
Shelby County R+27.7 R+33.6 R+5.9 18,663 20,580
Franklin County flipped D+0.8 R+4.6 R+5.4 23,337 23,865
Laurel County R+63.6 R+69.0 R+5.4 22,408 24,833
Scott County R+25.0 R+30.3 R+5.3 20,573 24,200
McCracken County R+32.5 R+37.2 R+4.7 30,551 31,307
Letcher County R+58.4 R+62.9 R+4.5 8,758 9,134
Boone County R+38.6 R+41.7 R+3.1 52,511 57,618
Boyle County R+26.2 R+29.0 R+2.8 12,373 12,946
Warren County R+21.8 R+24.2 R+2.4 43,903 48,454
Madison County R+28.9 R+31.1 R+2.2 33,322 37,371
Kenton County R+24.3 R+26.1 R+1.8 67,704 71,998
Campbell County R+22.8 R+24.4 R+1.6 40,177 42,510
Woodford County R+18.9 R+20.1 R+1.2 12,332 13,563
Jessamine County R+39.9 R+40.0 R+0.1 20,633 23,326
Leslie County R+81.0 R+80.5 D+0.5 4,950 4,492
Perry County R+58.5 R+57.0 D+1.5 10,241 10,572
Jefferson County D+11.1 D+13.3 D+2.2 339,579 353,099
Oldham County R+36.6 R+31.0 D+5.6 29,884 32,853
Fayette County D+1.0 D+9.5 D+8.5 125,866 136,315

Official results As published by The American Presidency Project (UC Santa Barbara) and the state documents it links. How we use this data