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2012 vs 2016 presidential election: swing by state

Nationally the popular vote went from D+3.9 in 2012 to D+2.0 in 2016. 38 of 51 states moved toward the Republican ticket and 6 changed hands.

Alabama: swing R+5.5Alaska: swing R+0.7Arizona: swing D+5.5Arkansas: swing R+3.2California: swing D+7.0Colorado: swing R+0.5Connecticut: swing R+3.7Delaware: swing R+7.2District of Columbia: swing D+3.1Florida: swing R+2.1 (flipped)Georgia: swing D+2.7Hawaii: swing R+10.5Idaho: swing D+0.1Illinois: swing D+0.2Indiana: swing R+9.0Iowa: swing R+15.2 (flipped)Kansas: swing D+1.1Kentucky: swing R+7.2Louisiana: swing R+2.4Maine: swing R+12.3Maryland: swing D+0.4Massachusetts: swing D+4.1Michigan: swing R+9.7 (flipped)Minnesota: swing R+6.2Mississippi: swing R+6.3Missouri: swing R+9.3Montana: swing R+6.9Nebraska: swing R+3.3Nevada: swing R+4.3New Hampshire: swing R+5.2New Jersey: swing R+3.6New Mexico: swing R+1.9New York: swing R+5.8North Carolina: swing R+1.6North Dakota: swing R+16.1Ohio: swing R+11.1 (flipped)Oklahoma: swing R+2.9Oregon: swing R+1.1Pennsylvania: swing R+6.1 (flipped)Rhode Island: swing R+12.0South Carolina: swing R+3.8South Dakota: swing R+11.8Tennessee: swing R+5.6Texas: swing D+6.8Utah: swing D+30.0Vermont: swing R+9.2Virginia: swing D+1.4Washington: swing D+1.4West Virginia: swing R+15.4Wisconsin: swing R+7.6 (flipped)Wyoming: swing R+5.5Vermont: swing R+9.2New Hampshire: swing R+5.2Massachusetts: swing D+4.1Rhode Island: swing R+12.0Connecticut: swing R+3.7New Jersey: swing R+3.6Delaware: swing R+7.2Maryland: swing D+0.4District of Columbia: swing D+3.1
Red: moved toward the Republican ticket. Blue: toward the Democratic ticket. Darker means a bigger swing.

Every state

Download CSV
State20122016SwingFlippedCounties
North Dakota R+19.6 R+35.7 R+16.1 County swing
West Virginia R+26.8 R+42.2 R+15.4 County swing
Iowa D+5.8 R+9.4 R+15.2 Democratic → Republican County swing
Maine D+15.3 D+3.0 R+12.3
Rhode Island D+27.5 D+15.5 R+12.0 County swing
South Dakota R+18.0 R+29.8 R+11.8 County swing
Ohio D+3.0 R+8.1 R+11.1 Democratic → Republican County swing
Hawaii D+42.7 D+32.2 R+10.5 County swing
Michigan D+9.5 R+0.2 R+9.7 Democratic → Republican County swing
Missouri R+9.4 R+18.6 R+9.3
Vermont D+35.6 D+26.4 R+9.2 County swing
Indiana R+10.2 R+19.2 R+9.0 County swing
Wisconsin D+6.8 R+0.8 R+7.6 Democratic → Republican County swing
Delaware D+18.6 D+11.4 R+7.2 County swing
Kentucky R+22.7 R+29.8 R+7.2 County swing
Montana R+13.7 R+20.5 R+6.9 County swing
Mississippi R+11.5 R+17.8 R+6.3 County swing
Minnesota D+7.7 D+1.5 R+6.2 County swing
Pennsylvania D+5.4 R+0.7 R+6.1 Democratic → Republican County swing
New York D+28.1 D+22.3 R+5.8 County swing
Tennessee R+20.4 R+26.0 R+5.6 County swing
Alabama R+22.2 R+27.7 R+5.5 County swing
Wyoming R+40.8 R+46.3 R+5.5 County swing
New Hampshire D+5.6 D+0.4 R+5.2 County swing
Nevada D+6.7 D+2.4 R+4.3 County swing
South Carolina R+10.5 R+14.3 R+3.8 County swing
Connecticut D+17.3 D+13.6 R+3.7
New Jersey D+17.7 D+14.1 R+3.6 County swing
Nebraska R+21.8 R+25.1 R+3.3 County swing
Arkansas R+23.7 R+26.9 R+3.2 County swing
Oklahoma R+33.5 R+36.4 R+2.9 County swing
Louisiana R+17.2 R+19.6 R+2.4 County swing
Florida D+0.9 R+1.2 R+2.1 Democratic → Republican County swing
New Mexico D+10.2 D+8.2 R+1.9 County swing
North Carolina R+2.0 R+3.7 R+1.6 County swing
Oregon D+12.1 D+11.0 R+1.1 County swing
Alaska R+14.0 R+14.7 R+0.7
Colorado D+5.4 D+4.9 R+0.5 County swing
Idaho R+31.9 R+31.8 D+0.1 County swing
Illinois D+16.9 D+17.1 D+0.2 County swing
Maryland D+26.1 D+26.4 D+0.4 County swing
Kansas R+21.7 R+20.6 D+1.1 County swing
Washington D+14.9 D+16.2 D+1.4 County swing
Virginia D+3.9 D+5.3 D+1.4 County swing
Georgia R+7.8 R+5.2 D+2.7 County swing
District of Columbia D+83.6 D+86.8 D+3.1 County swing
Massachusetts D+23.1 D+27.2 D+4.1 County swing
Arizona R+9.1 R+3.5 D+5.5 County swing
Texas R+15.8 R+9.0 D+6.8 County swing
California D+23.1 D+30.1 D+7.0 County swing
Utah R+48.0 R+18.1 D+30.0 County swing

Margins are Republican share minus Democratic share of all votes counted. Swing is the change in that margin; “R+3” means the state moved three points toward the Republican ticket.

Official results As published by The American Presidency Project (UC Santa Barbara) and the state documents it links. How we use this data