Skip to content

1960 vs 2020 presidential election: swing by state

Nationally the popular vote went from D+0.2 in 1960 to D+4.5 in 2020. 25 of 50 states moved toward the Republican ticket and 19 changed hands.

Alabama: swing R+40.6 (flipped)Alaska: swing R+8.2Arizona: swing D+11.5 (flipped)Arkansas: swing R+34.8 (flipped)California: swing D+29.7 (flipped)Colorado: swing D+23.2 (flipped)Connecticut: swing D+12.6Delaware: swing D+17.3District of ColumbiaFlorida: swing R+0.3Georgia: swing R+24.9Hawaii: swing D+29.4Idaho: swing R+23.2Illinois: swing D+16.8Indiana: swing R+5.6Iowa: swing D+5.3Kansas: swing D+6.7Kentucky: swing R+18.8Louisiana: swing R+40.4 (flipped)Maine: swing D+23.2 (flipped)Maryland: swing D+26.0Massachusetts: swing D+12.8Michigan: swing D+0.8Minnesota: swing D+5.7Mississippi: swing R+28.2 (flipped)Missouri: swing R+15.9 (flipped)Montana: swing R+13.9Nebraska: swing D+5.0Nevada: swing D+0.1New Hampshire: swing D+14.2 (flipped)New Jersey: swing D+15.1New Mexico: swing D+10.1New York: swing D+17.9North Carolina: swing R+5.6 (flipped)North Dakota: swing R+22.5Ohio: swing R+1.5Oklahoma: swing R+15.0Oregon: swing D+21.3 (flipped)Pennsylvania: swing R+1.2Rhode Island: swing R+6.5South Carolina: swing R+14.2 (flipped)South Dakota: swing R+9.7Tennessee: swing R+16.1Texas: swing R+7.6 (flipped)Utah: swing R+10.8Vermont: swing D+52.7 (flipped)Virginia: swing D+15.6 (flipped)Washington: swing D+21.6 (flipped)West Virginia: swing R+44.4 (flipped)Wisconsin: swing D+4.4 (flipped)Wyoming: swing R+33.4Vermont: swing D+52.7 (flipped)New Hampshire: swing D+14.2 (flipped)Massachusetts: swing D+12.8Rhode Island: swing R+6.5Connecticut: swing D+12.6New Jersey: swing D+15.1Delaware: swing D+17.3Maryland: swing D+26.0District of Columbia
Red: moved toward the Republican ticket. Blue: toward the Democratic ticket. Darker means a bigger swing.

Every state

Download CSV
State19602020SwingFlipped
West Virginia D+5.5 R+38.9 R+44.4 Democratic → Republican
Alabama D+15.1 R+25.5 R+40.6 Democratic → Republican
Louisiana D+21.8 R+18.6 R+40.4 Democratic → Republican
Arkansas D+7.1 R+27.6 R+34.8 Democratic → Republican
Wyoming R+10.0 R+43.4 R+33.4
Mississippi D+11.7 R+16.5 R+28.2 Democratic → Republican
Georgia D+25.1 D+0.2 R+24.9
Idaho R+7.6 R+30.8 R+23.2
North Dakota R+10.9 R+33.4 R+22.5
Kentucky R+7.2 R+25.9 R+18.8
Tennessee R+7.1 R+23.2 R+16.1
Missouri D+0.5 R+15.4 R+15.9 Democratic → Republican
Oklahoma R+18.0 R+33.1 R+15.0
South Carolina D+2.5 R+11.7 R+14.2 Democratic → Republican
Montana R+2.5 R+16.4 R+13.9
Utah R+9.6 R+20.5 R+10.8
South Dakota R+16.4 R+26.2 R+9.7
Alaska R+1.9 R+10.1 R+8.2
Texas D+2.0 R+5.6 R+7.6 Democratic → Republican
Rhode Island D+27.3 D+20.8 R+6.5
Indiana R+10.4 R+16.1 R+5.6
North Carolina D+4.2 R+1.3 R+5.6 Democratic → Republican
Ohio R+6.6 R+8.0 R+1.5
Pennsylvania D+2.3 D+1.2 R+1.2
Florida R+3.0 R+3.4 R+0.3
Nevada D+2.3 D+2.4 D+0.1
Michigan D+2.0 D+2.8 D+0.8
Wisconsin R+3.7 D+0.6 D+4.4 Republican → Democratic
Nebraska R+24.1 R+19.2 D+5.0
Iowa R+13.5 R+8.2 D+5.3
Minnesota D+1.4 D+7.1 D+5.7
Kansas R+21.3 R+14.7 D+6.7
New Mexico D+0.7 D+10.8 D+10.1
Arizona R+11.2 D+0.3 D+11.5 Republican → Democratic
Connecticut D+7.5 D+20.0 D+12.6
Massachusetts D+20.7 D+33.5 D+12.8
New Hampshire R+6.8 D+7.4 D+14.2 Republican → Democratic
New Jersey D+0.8 D+15.9 D+15.1
Virginia R+5.5 D+10.1 D+15.6 Republican → Democratic
Illinois D+0.2 D+17.0 D+16.8
Delaware D+1.6 D+19.0 D+17.3
New York D+5.3 D+23.1 D+17.9
Oregon R+5.2 D+16.1 D+21.3 Republican → Democratic
Washington R+2.4 D+19.2 D+21.6 Republican → Democratic
Maine R+14.1 D+9.1 D+23.2 Republican → Democratic
Colorado R+9.7 D+13.5 D+23.2 Republican → Democratic
Maryland D+7.2 D+33.2 D+26.0
Hawaii D+0.1 D+29.5 D+29.4
California R+0.6 D+29.2 D+29.7 Republican → Democratic
Vermont R+17.3 D+35.4 D+52.7 Republican → Democratic

Margins are Republican share minus Democratic share of all votes counted. Swing is the change in that margin; “R+3” means the state moved three points toward the Republican ticket.

Official results As published by The American Presidency Project (UC Santa Barbara) and the state documents it links. How we use this data