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2008 vs 2012 presidential election: swing by state

Nationally the popular vote went from D+7.2 in 2008 to D+3.9 in 2012. 45 of 51 states moved toward the Republican ticket and 2 changed hands.

Alabama: swing R+0.6Alaska: swing D+7.6Arizona: swing R+0.6Arkansas: swing R+3.8California: swing R+0.9Colorado: swing R+3.6Connecticut: swing R+5.0Delaware: swing R+6.4District of Columbia: swing R+2.3Florida: swing R+1.9Georgia: swing R+2.6Hawaii: swing R+2.6Idaho: swing R+6.5Illinois: swing R+8.3Indiana: swing R+11.2 (flipped)Iowa: swing R+3.7Kansas: swing R+6.8Kentucky: swing R+6.5Louisiana: swing D+1.4Maine: swing R+2.0Maryland: swing D+0.6Massachusetts: swing R+2.7Michigan: swing R+7.0Minnesota: swing R+2.6Mississippi: swing D+1.7Missouri: swing R+9.2Montana: swing R+11.4Nebraska: swing R+6.8Nevada: swing R+5.8New Hampshire: swing R+4.1New Jersey: swing D+2.2New Mexico: swing R+5.0New York: swing D+1.4North Carolina: swing R+2.4 (flipped)North Dakota: swing R+11.0Ohio: swing R+1.6Oklahoma: swing R+2.3Oregon: swing R+4.3Pennsylvania: swing R+4.9Rhode Island: swing R+0.5South Carolina: swing R+1.5South Dakota: swing R+9.6Tennessee: swing R+5.3Texas: swing R+4.0Utah: swing R+19.9Vermont: swing R+1.4Virginia: swing R+2.4Washington: swing R+2.3West Virginia: swing R+13.6Wisconsin: swing R+7.1Wyoming: swing R+8.8Vermont: swing R+1.4New Hampshire: swing R+4.1Massachusetts: swing R+2.7Rhode Island: swing R+0.5Connecticut: swing R+5.0New Jersey: swing D+2.2Delaware: swing R+6.4Maryland: swing D+0.6District of Columbia: swing R+2.3
Red: moved toward the Republican ticket. Blue: toward the Democratic ticket. Darker means a bigger swing.

Every state

Download CSV
State20082012SwingFlippedCounties
Utah R+28.2 R+48.0 R+19.9 County swing
West Virginia R+13.1 R+26.8 R+13.6 County swing
Montana R+2.3 R+13.7 R+11.4 County swing
Indiana D+1.0 R+10.2 R+11.2 Democratic → Republican County swing
North Dakota R+8.6 R+19.6 R+11.0 County swing
South Dakota R+8.4 R+18.0 R+9.6 County swing
Missouri R+0.1 R+9.4 R+9.2
Wyoming R+32.1 R+40.8 R+8.8 County swing
Illinois D+25.1 D+16.9 R+8.3 County swing
Wisconsin D+13.9 D+6.8 R+7.1 County swing
Michigan D+16.5 D+9.5 R+7.0 County swing
Nebraska R+14.9 R+21.8 R+6.8 County swing
Kansas R+15.0 R+21.7 R+6.8 County swing
Idaho R+25.4 R+31.9 R+6.5 County swing
Kentucky R+16.2 R+22.7 R+6.5 County swing
Delaware D+25.0 D+18.6 R+6.4 County swing
Nevada D+12.5 D+6.7 R+5.8 County swing
Tennessee R+15.1 R+20.4 R+5.3 County swing
Connecticut D+22.4 D+17.3 R+5.0
New Mexico D+15.1 D+10.2 R+5.0 County swing
Pennsylvania D+10.3 D+5.4 R+4.9 County swing
Oregon D+16.4 D+12.1 R+4.3 County swing
New Hampshire D+9.7 D+5.6 R+4.1 County swing
Texas R+11.8 R+15.8 R+4.0 County swing
Arkansas R+19.9 R+23.7 R+3.8 County swing
Iowa D+9.5 D+5.8 R+3.7 County swing
Colorado D+9.0 D+5.4 R+3.6 County swing
Massachusetts D+25.8 D+23.1 R+2.7 County swing
Georgia R+5.2 R+7.8 R+2.6 County swing
Hawaii D+45.3 D+42.7 R+2.6 County swing
Minnesota D+10.2 D+7.7 R+2.6 County swing
Virginia D+6.3 D+3.9 R+2.4 County swing
North Carolina D+0.3 R+2.0 R+2.4 Democratic → Republican County swing
Washington D+17.2 D+14.9 R+2.3 County swing
District of Columbia D+85.9 D+83.6 R+2.3 County swing
Oklahoma R+31.3 R+33.5 R+2.3 County swing
Maine D+17.3 D+15.3 R+2.0
Florida D+2.8 D+0.9 R+1.9 County swing
Ohio D+4.5 D+3.0 R+1.6 County swing
South Carolina R+9.0 R+10.5 R+1.5 County swing
Vermont D+37.0 D+35.6 R+1.4 County swing
California D+24.1 D+23.1 R+0.9 County swing
Alabama R+21.6 R+22.2 R+0.6 County swing
Arizona R+8.5 R+9.1 R+0.6 County swing
Rhode Island D+27.9 D+27.5 R+0.5 County swing
Maryland D+25.4 D+26.1 D+0.6 County swing
Louisiana R+18.6 R+17.2 D+1.4 County swing
New York D+26.7 D+28.1 D+1.4
Mississippi R+13.2 R+11.5 D+1.7 County swing
New Jersey D+15.6 D+17.7 D+2.2 County swing
Alaska R+21.5 R+14.0 D+7.6

Margins are Republican share minus Democratic share of all votes counted. Swing is the change in that margin; “R+3” means the state moved three points toward the Republican ticket.

Official results As published by The American Presidency Project (UC Santa Barbara) and the state documents it links. How we use this data