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2008 vs 2024 presidential election: swing by state

Nationally the popular vote went from D+7.2 in 2008 to R+1.5 in 2024. 44 of 51 states moved toward the Republican ticket and 9 changed hands.

Alabama: swing R+8.9Alaska: swing D+8.4Arizona: swing D+3.0Arkansas: swing R+10.8California: swing R+3.9Colorado: swing D+2.0Connecticut: swing R+7.9Delaware: swing R+10.3District of Columbia: swing R+2.1Florida: swing R+15.9 (flipped)Georgia: swing D+3.0Hawaii: swing R+22.2Idaho: swing R+11.1Illinois: swing R+14.3Indiana: swing R+20.0 (flipped)Iowa: swing R+22.7 (flipped)Kansas: swing R+1.2Kentucky: swing R+14.3Louisiana: swing R+3.4Maine: swing R+10.4Maryland: swing D+3.1Massachusetts: swing R+0.6Michigan: swing R+17.9 (flipped)Minnesota: swing R+6.0Mississippi: swing R+9.7Missouri: swing R+18.3Montana: swing R+17.7Nebraska: swing R+5.6Nevada: swing R+15.6 (flipped)New Hampshire: swing R+6.9New Jersey: swing R+9.7New Mexico: swing R+9.1New York: swing R+14.1North Carolina: swing R+3.5 (flipped)North Dakota: swing R+27.8Ohio: swing R+15.8 (flipped)Oklahoma: swing R+3.0Oregon: swing R+2.1Pennsylvania: swing R+12.0 (flipped)Rhode Island: swing R+14.1South Carolina: swing R+8.9South Dakota: swing R+20.8Tennessee: swing R+14.7Texas: swing R+1.9Utah: swing D+6.6Vermont: swing R+5.5Virginia: swing R+0.5Washington: swing D+1.1West Virginia: swing R+28.8Wisconsin: swing R+14.8 (flipped)Wyoming: swing R+13.7Vermont: swing R+5.5New Hampshire: swing R+6.9Massachusetts: swing R+0.6Rhode Island: swing R+14.1Connecticut: swing R+7.9New Jersey: swing R+9.7Delaware: swing R+10.3Maryland: swing D+3.1District of Columbia: swing R+2.1
Red: moved toward the Republican ticket. Blue: toward the Democratic ticket. Darker means a bigger swing.

Every state

Download CSV
State20082024SwingFlippedCounties
West Virginia R+13.1 R+41.9 R+28.8 County swing
North Dakota R+8.6 R+36.5 R+27.8 County swing
Iowa D+9.5 R+13.2 R+22.7 Democratic → Republican County swing
Hawaii D+45.3 D+23.1 R+22.2 County swing
South Dakota R+8.4 R+29.2 R+20.8 County swing
Indiana D+1.0 R+19.0 R+20.0 Democratic → Republican County swing
Missouri R+0.1 R+18.4 R+18.3
Michigan D+16.5 R+1.4 R+17.9 Democratic → Republican County swing
Montana R+2.3 R+19.9 R+17.7 County swing
Florida D+2.8 R+13.1 R+15.9 Democratic → Republican County swing
Ohio D+4.5 R+11.2 R+15.8 Democratic → Republican County swing
Nevada D+12.5 R+3.1 R+15.6 Democratic → Republican County swing
Wisconsin D+13.9 R+0.9 R+14.8 Democratic → Republican County swing
Tennessee R+15.1 R+29.7 R+14.7 County swing
Kentucky R+16.2 R+30.5 R+14.3 County swing
Illinois D+25.1 D+10.9 R+14.3 County swing
Rhode Island D+27.9 D+13.8 R+14.1 County swing
New York D+26.7 D+12.6 R+14.1
Wyoming R+32.1 R+45.8 R+13.7 County swing
Pennsylvania D+10.3 R+1.7 R+12.0 Democratic → Republican County swing
Idaho R+25.4 R+36.5 R+11.1 County swing
Arkansas R+19.9 R+30.6 R+10.8 County swing
Maine D+17.3 D+6.9 R+10.4 County swing
Delaware D+25.0 D+14.7 R+10.3 County swing
Mississippi R+13.2 R+22.9 R+9.7 County swing
New Jersey D+15.6 D+5.9 R+9.7 County swing
New Mexico D+15.1 D+6.0 R+9.1 County swing
South Carolina R+9.0 R+17.9 R+8.9 County swing
Alabama R+21.6 R+30.5 R+8.9 County swing
Connecticut D+22.4 D+14.5 R+7.9 County swing
New Hampshire D+9.7 D+2.8 R+6.9 County swing
Minnesota D+10.2 D+4.2 R+6.0 County swing
Nebraska R+14.9 R+20.6 R+5.6 County swing
Vermont D+37.0 D+31.5 R+5.5 County swing
California D+24.1 D+20.1 R+3.9 County swing
North Carolina D+0.3 R+3.2 R+3.5 Democratic → Republican County swing
Louisiana R+18.6 R+22.0 R+3.4 County swing
Oklahoma R+31.3 R+34.3 R+3.0 County swing
District of Columbia D+85.9 D+83.8 R+2.1 County swing
Oregon D+16.4 D+14.3 R+2.1 County swing
Texas R+11.8 R+13.7 R+1.9 County swing
Kansas R+15.0 R+16.1 R+1.2 County swing
Massachusetts D+25.8 D+25.2 R+0.6 County swing
Virginia D+6.3 D+5.8 R+0.5 County swing
Washington D+17.2 D+18.2 D+1.1 County swing
Colorado D+9.0 D+11.0 D+2.0 County swing
Arizona R+8.5 R+5.5 D+3.0 County swing
Georgia R+5.2 R+2.2 D+3.0 County swing
Maryland D+25.4 D+28.5 D+3.1 County swing
Utah R+28.2 R+21.6 D+6.6 County swing
Alaska R+21.5 R+13.1 D+8.4

Margins are Republican share minus Democratic share of all votes counted. Swing is the change in that margin; “R+3” means the state moved three points toward the Republican ticket.

Official results As published by The American Presidency Project (UC Santa Barbara) and the state documents it links. How we use this data