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2008 vs 2016 presidential election: swing by state

Nationally the popular vote went from D+7.2 in 2008 to D+2.0 in 2016. 42 of 51 states moved toward the Republican ticket and 8 changed hands.

Alabama: swing R+6.1Alaska: swing D+6.8Arizona: swing D+5.0Arkansas: swing R+7.1California: swing D+6.1Colorado: swing R+4.0Connecticut: swing R+8.7Delaware: swing R+13.6District of Columbia: swing D+0.8Florida: swing R+4.0 (flipped)Georgia: swing D+0.1Hawaii: swing R+13.1Idaho: swing R+6.3Illinois: swing R+8.1Indiana: swing R+20.2 (flipped)Iowa: swing R+18.9 (flipped)Kansas: swing R+5.7Kentucky: swing R+13.6Louisiana: swing R+1.0Maine: swing R+14.4Maryland: swing D+1.0Massachusetts: swing D+1.4Michigan: swing R+16.7 (flipped)Minnesota: swing R+8.7Mississippi: swing R+4.6Missouri: swing R+18.5Montana: swing R+18.3Nebraska: swing R+10.1Nevada: swing R+10.1New Hampshire: swing R+9.3New Jersey: swing R+1.5New Mexico: swing R+6.9New York: swing R+4.4North Carolina: swing R+4.0 (flipped)North Dakota: swing R+27.1Ohio: swing R+12.7 (flipped)Oklahoma: swing R+5.1Oregon: swing R+5.4Pennsylvania: swing R+11.0 (flipped)Rhode Island: swing R+12.4South Carolina: swing R+5.3South Dakota: swing R+21.4Tennessee: swing R+10.9Texas: swing D+2.8Utah: swing D+10.1Vermont: swing R+10.6Virginia: swing R+1.0Washington: swing R+0.9West Virginia: swing R+29.0Wisconsin: swing R+14.7 (flipped)Wyoming: swing R+14.2Vermont: swing R+10.6New Hampshire: swing R+9.3Massachusetts: swing D+1.4Rhode Island: swing R+12.4Connecticut: swing R+8.7New Jersey: swing R+1.5Delaware: swing R+13.6Maryland: swing D+1.0District of Columbia: swing D+0.8
Red: moved toward the Republican ticket. Blue: toward the Democratic ticket. Darker means a bigger swing.

Every state

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State20082016SwingFlippedCounties
West Virginia R+13.1 R+42.2 R+29.0 County swing
North Dakota R+8.6 R+35.7 R+27.1 County swing
South Dakota R+8.4 R+29.8 R+21.4 County swing
Indiana D+1.0 R+19.2 R+20.2 Democratic → Republican County swing
Iowa D+9.5 R+9.4 R+18.9 Democratic → Republican County swing
Missouri R+0.1 R+18.6 R+18.5
Montana R+2.3 R+20.5 R+18.3 County swing
Michigan D+16.5 R+0.2 R+16.7 Democratic → Republican County swing
Wisconsin D+13.9 R+0.8 R+14.7 Democratic → Republican County swing
Maine D+17.3 D+3.0 R+14.4
Wyoming R+32.1 R+46.3 R+14.2 County swing
Kentucky R+16.2 R+29.8 R+13.6 County swing
Delaware D+25.0 D+11.4 R+13.6 County swing
Hawaii D+45.3 D+32.2 R+13.1 County swing
Ohio D+4.5 R+8.1 R+12.7 Democratic → Republican County swing
Rhode Island D+27.9 D+15.5 R+12.4 County swing
Pennsylvania D+10.3 R+0.7 R+11.0 Democratic → Republican County swing
Tennessee R+15.1 R+26.0 R+10.9 County swing
Vermont D+37.0 D+26.4 R+10.6 County swing
Nebraska R+14.9 R+25.1 R+10.1 County swing
Nevada D+12.5 D+2.4 R+10.1 County swing
New Hampshire D+9.7 D+0.4 R+9.3 County swing
Connecticut D+22.4 D+13.6 R+8.7 County swing
Minnesota D+10.2 D+1.5 R+8.7 County swing
Illinois D+25.1 D+17.1 R+8.1 County swing
Arkansas R+19.9 R+26.9 R+7.1 County swing
New Mexico D+15.1 D+8.2 R+6.9 County swing
Idaho R+25.4 R+31.8 R+6.3 County swing
Alabama R+21.6 R+27.7 R+6.1 County swing
Kansas R+15.0 R+20.6 R+5.7 County swing
Oregon D+16.4 D+11.0 R+5.4 County swing
South Carolina R+9.0 R+14.3 R+5.3 County swing
Oklahoma R+31.3 R+36.4 R+5.1 County swing
Mississippi R+13.2 R+17.8 R+4.6 County swing
New York D+26.7 D+22.3 R+4.4
Colorado D+9.0 D+4.9 R+4.0 County swing
Florida D+2.8 R+1.2 R+4.0 Democratic → Republican County swing
North Carolina D+0.3 R+3.7 R+4.0 Democratic → Republican County swing
New Jersey D+15.6 D+14.1 R+1.5 County swing
Louisiana R+18.6 R+19.6 R+1.0 County swing
Virginia D+6.3 D+5.3 R+1.0 County swing
Washington D+17.2 D+16.2 R+0.9 County swing
Georgia R+5.2 R+5.2 D+0.1 County swing
District of Columbia D+85.9 D+86.8 D+0.8 County swing
Maryland D+25.4 D+26.4 D+1.0 County swing
Massachusetts D+25.8 D+27.2 D+1.4 County swing
Texas R+11.8 R+9.0 D+2.8 County swing
Arizona R+8.5 R+3.5 D+5.0 County swing
California D+24.1 D+30.1 D+6.1 County swing
Alaska R+21.5 R+14.7 D+6.8
Utah R+28.2 R+18.1 D+10.1 County swing

Margins are Republican share minus Democratic share of all votes counted. Swing is the change in that margin; “R+3” means the state moved three points toward the Republican ticket.

Official results As published by The American Presidency Project (UC Santa Barbara) and the state documents it links. How we use this data