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2012 vs 2024 presidential election: swing by state

Nationally the popular vote went from D+3.9 in 2012 to R+1.5 in 2024. 37 of 51 states moved toward the Republican ticket and 7 changed hands.

Alabama: swing R+8.3Alaska: swing D+0.9Arizona: swing D+3.5Arkansas: swing R+7.0California: swing R+3.0Colorado: swing D+5.6Connecticut: swing R+2.8Delaware: swing R+3.9District of Columbia: swing D+0.2Florida: swing R+14.0 (flipped)Georgia: swing D+5.6Hawaii: swing R+19.6Idaho: swing R+4.6Illinois: swing R+6.0Indiana: swing R+8.8Iowa: swing R+19.0 (flipped)Kansas: swing D+5.6Kentucky: swing R+7.8Louisiana: swing R+4.8Maine: swing R+8.4Maryland: swing D+2.5Massachusetts: swing D+2.1Michigan: swing R+10.9 (flipped)Minnesota: swing R+3.5Mississippi: swing R+11.4Missouri: swing R+9.0Montana: swing R+6.3Nebraska: swing D+1.2Nevada: swing R+9.8 (flipped)New Hampshire: swing R+2.8New Jersey: swing R+11.8New Mexico: swing R+4.2New York: swing R+15.5North Carolina: swing R+1.2North Dakota: swing R+16.8Ohio: swing R+14.2 (flipped)Oklahoma: swing R+0.7Oregon: swing D+2.2Pennsylvania: swing R+7.1 (flipped)Rhode Island: swing R+13.7South Carolina: swing R+7.4South Dakota: swing R+11.2Tennessee: swing R+9.3Texas: swing D+2.1Utah: swing D+26.5Vermont: swing R+4.1Virginia: swing D+1.9Washington: swing D+3.4West Virginia: swing R+15.1Wisconsin: swing R+7.7 (flipped)Wyoming: swing R+4.9Vermont: swing R+4.1New Hampshire: swing R+2.8Massachusetts: swing D+2.1Rhode Island: swing R+13.7Connecticut: swing R+2.8New Jersey: swing R+11.8Delaware: swing R+3.9Maryland: swing D+2.5District of Columbia: swing D+0.2
Red: moved toward the Republican ticket. Blue: toward the Democratic ticket. Darker means a bigger swing.

Every state

Download CSV
State20122024SwingFlippedCounties
Hawaii D+42.7 D+23.1 R+19.6 County swing
Iowa D+5.8 R+13.2 R+19.0 Democratic → Republican County swing
North Dakota R+19.6 R+36.5 R+16.8 County swing
New York D+28.1 D+12.6 R+15.5 County swing
West Virginia R+26.8 R+41.9 R+15.1 County swing
Ohio D+3.0 R+11.2 R+14.2 Democratic → Republican County swing
Florida D+0.9 R+13.1 R+14.0 Democratic → Republican County swing
Rhode Island D+27.5 D+13.8 R+13.7 County swing
New Jersey D+17.7 D+5.9 R+11.8 County swing
Mississippi R+11.5 R+22.9 R+11.4 County swing
South Dakota R+18.0 R+29.2 R+11.2 County swing
Michigan D+9.5 R+1.4 R+10.9 Democratic → Republican County swing
Nevada D+6.7 R+3.1 R+9.8 Democratic → Republican County swing
Tennessee R+20.4 R+29.7 R+9.3 County swing
Missouri R+9.4 R+18.4 R+9.0 County swing
Indiana R+10.2 R+19.0 R+8.8 County swing
Maine D+15.3 D+6.9 R+8.4
Alabama R+22.2 R+30.5 R+8.3 County swing
Kentucky R+22.7 R+30.5 R+7.8 County swing
Wisconsin D+6.8 R+0.9 R+7.7 Democratic → Republican County swing
South Carolina R+10.5 R+17.9 R+7.4 County swing
Pennsylvania D+5.4 R+1.7 R+7.1 Democratic → Republican County swing
Arkansas R+23.7 R+30.6 R+7.0 County swing
Montana R+13.7 R+19.9 R+6.3 County swing
Illinois D+16.9 D+10.9 R+6.0 County swing
Wyoming R+40.8 R+45.8 R+4.9 County swing
Louisiana R+17.2 R+22.0 R+4.8 County swing
Idaho R+31.9 R+36.5 R+4.6 County swing
New Mexico D+10.2 D+6.0 R+4.2 County swing
Vermont D+35.6 D+31.5 R+4.1 County swing
Delaware D+18.6 D+14.7 R+3.9 County swing
Minnesota D+7.7 D+4.2 R+3.5 County swing
California D+23.1 D+20.1 R+3.0 County swing
Connecticut D+17.3 D+14.5 R+2.8
New Hampshire D+5.6 D+2.8 R+2.8 County swing
North Carolina R+2.0 R+3.2 R+1.2 County swing
Oklahoma R+33.5 R+34.3 R+0.7 County swing
District of Columbia D+83.6 D+83.8 D+0.2 County swing
Alaska R+14.0 R+13.1 D+0.9
Nebraska R+21.8 R+20.6 D+1.2 County swing
Virginia D+3.9 D+5.8 D+1.9 County swing
Massachusetts D+23.1 D+25.2 D+2.1 County swing
Texas R+15.8 R+13.7 D+2.1 County swing
Oregon D+12.1 D+14.3 D+2.2 County swing
Maryland D+26.1 D+28.5 D+2.5 County swing
Washington D+14.9 D+18.2 D+3.4 County swing
Arizona R+9.1 R+5.5 D+3.5 County swing
Kansas R+21.7 R+16.1 D+5.6 County swing
Georgia R+7.8 R+2.2 D+5.6 County swing
Colorado D+5.4 D+11.0 D+5.6 County swing
Utah R+48.0 R+21.6 D+26.5 County swing

Margins are Republican share minus Democratic share of all votes counted. Swing is the change in that margin; “R+3” means the state moved three points toward the Republican ticket.

Official results As published by The American Presidency Project (UC Santa Barbara) and the state documents it links. How we use this data