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2012 vs 2020 presidential election: swing by state

Nationally the popular vote went from D+3.9 in 2012 to D+4.5 in 2020. 28 of 51 states moved toward the Republican ticket and 5 changed hands.

Alabama: swing R+3.3Alaska: swing D+3.9Arizona: swing D+9.4 (flipped)Arkansas: swing R+3.9California: swing D+6.0Colorado: swing D+8.1Connecticut: swing D+2.7Delaware: swing D+0.4District of Columbia: swing D+3.1Florida: swing R+4.2 (flipped)Georgia: swing D+8.1 (flipped)Hawaii: swing R+13.3Idaho: swing D+1.1Illinois: swing D+0.1Indiana: swing R+5.9Iowa: swing R+14.0 (flipped)Kansas: swing D+7.1Kentucky: swing R+3.3Louisiana: swing R+1.4Maine: swing R+6.2Maryland: swing D+7.1Massachusetts: swing D+10.3Michigan: swing R+6.7Minnesota: swing R+0.6Mississippi: swing R+5.0Missouri: swing R+6.0Montana: swing R+2.7Nebraska: swing D+2.6Nevada: swing R+4.3New Hampshire: swing D+1.8New Jersey: swing R+1.8New Mexico: swing D+0.6New York: swing R+5.0North Carolina: swing D+0.7North Dakota: swing R+13.7Ohio: swing R+11.0 (flipped)Oklahoma: swing D+0.5Oregon: swing D+4.0Pennsylvania: swing R+4.2Rhode Island: swing R+6.7South Carolina: swing R+1.2South Dakota: swing R+8.1Tennessee: swing R+2.8Texas: swing D+10.2Utah: swing D+27.6Vermont: swing R+0.2Virginia: swing D+6.2Washington: swing D+4.3West Virginia: swing R+12.2Wisconsin: swing R+6.2Wyoming: swing R+2.6Vermont: swing R+0.2New Hampshire: swing D+1.8Massachusetts: swing D+10.3Rhode Island: swing R+6.7Connecticut: swing D+2.7New Jersey: swing R+1.8Delaware: swing D+0.4Maryland: swing D+7.1District of Columbia: swing D+3.1
Red: moved toward the Republican ticket. Blue: toward the Democratic ticket. Darker means a bigger swing.

Every state

Download CSV
State20122020SwingFlippedCounties
Iowa D+5.8 R+8.2 R+14.0 Democratic → Republican County swing
North Dakota R+19.6 R+33.4 R+13.7 County swing
Hawaii D+42.7 D+29.5 R+13.3 County swing
West Virginia R+26.8 R+38.9 R+12.2 County swing
Ohio D+3.0 R+8.0 R+11.0 Democratic → Republican County swing
South Dakota R+18.0 R+26.2 R+8.1 County swing
Michigan D+9.5 D+2.8 R+6.7 County swing
Rhode Island D+27.5 D+20.8 R+6.7 County swing
Maine D+15.3 D+9.1 R+6.2
Wisconsin D+6.8 D+0.6 R+6.2 County swing
Missouri R+9.4 R+15.4 R+6.0 County swing
Indiana R+10.2 R+16.1 R+5.9 County swing
Mississippi R+11.5 R+16.5 R+5.0 County swing
New York D+28.1 D+23.1 R+5.0 County swing
Nevada D+6.7 D+2.4 R+4.3 County swing
Florida D+0.9 R+3.4 R+4.2 Democratic → Republican County swing
Pennsylvania D+5.4 D+1.2 R+4.2 County swing
Arkansas R+23.7 R+27.6 R+3.9 County swing
Alabama R+22.2 R+25.5 R+3.3 County swing
Kentucky R+22.7 R+25.9 R+3.3 County swing
Tennessee R+20.4 R+23.2 R+2.8 County swing
Montana R+13.7 R+16.4 R+2.7 County swing
Wyoming R+40.8 R+43.4 R+2.6 County swing
New Jersey D+17.7 D+15.9 R+1.8 County swing
Louisiana R+17.2 R+18.6 R+1.4 County swing
South Carolina R+10.5 R+11.7 R+1.2 County swing
Minnesota D+7.7 D+7.1 R+0.6 County swing
Vermont D+35.6 D+35.4 R+0.2 County swing
Illinois D+16.9 D+17.0 D+0.1 County swing
Delaware D+18.6 D+19.0 D+0.4 County swing
Oklahoma R+33.5 R+33.1 D+0.5 County swing
New Mexico D+10.2 D+10.8 D+0.6 County swing
North Carolina R+2.0 R+1.3 D+0.7 County swing
Idaho R+31.9 R+30.8 D+1.1 County swing
New Hampshire D+5.6 D+7.4 D+1.8 County swing
Nebraska R+21.8 R+19.2 D+2.6 County swing
Connecticut D+17.3 D+20.0 D+2.7
District of Columbia D+83.6 D+86.8 D+3.1 County swing
Alaska R+14.0 R+10.1 D+3.9
Oregon D+12.1 D+16.1 D+4.0 County swing
Washington D+14.9 D+19.2 D+4.3 County swing
California D+23.1 D+29.2 D+6.0 County swing
Virginia D+3.9 D+10.1 D+6.2 County swing
Kansas R+21.7 R+14.7 D+7.1
Maryland D+26.1 D+33.2 D+7.1 County swing
Georgia R+7.8 D+0.2 D+8.1 Republican → Democratic County swing
Colorado D+5.4 D+13.5 D+8.1 County swing
Arizona R+9.1 D+0.3 D+9.4 Republican → Democratic County swing
Texas R+15.8 R+5.6 D+10.2 County swing
Massachusetts D+23.1 D+33.5 D+10.3 County swing
Utah R+48.0 R+20.5 D+27.6 County swing

Margins are Republican share minus Democratic share of all votes counted. Swing is the change in that margin; “R+3” means the state moved three points toward the Republican ticket.

Official results As published by The American Presidency Project (UC Santa Barbara) and the state documents it links. How we use this data