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2016 vs 2024 presidential election: swing by state

Nationally the popular vote went from D+2.0 in 2016 to R+1.5 in 2024. 28 of 51 states moved toward the Republican ticket and 1 changed hands.

Alabama: swing R+2.8Alaska: swing D+1.6Arizona: swing R+2.0Arkansas: swing R+3.7California: swing R+10.0Colorado: swing D+6.1Connecticut: swing D+0.9Delaware: swing D+3.3District of Columbia: swing R+3.0Florida: swing R+11.9Georgia: swing D+3.0Hawaii: swing R+9.1Idaho: swing R+4.7Illinois: swing R+6.2Indiana: swing D+0.2Iowa: swing R+3.8Kansas: swing D+4.5Kentucky: swing R+0.7Louisiana: swing R+2.4Maine: swing D+4.0Maryland: swing D+2.1Massachusetts: swing R+2.0Michigan: swing R+1.2Minnesota: swing D+2.7Mississippi: swing R+5.1Missouri: swing D+0.2Montana: swing D+0.6Nebraska: swing D+4.5Nevada: swing R+5.5 (flipped)New Hampshire: swing D+2.4New Jersey: swing R+8.2New Mexico: swing R+2.2New York: swing R+9.7North Carolina: swing D+0.5North Dakota: swing R+0.7Ohio: swing R+3.1Oklahoma: swing D+2.1Oregon: swing D+3.3Pennsylvania: swing R+1.0Rhode Island: swing R+1.7South Carolina: swing R+3.6South Dakota: swing D+0.6Tennessee: swing R+3.7Texas: swing R+4.7Utah: swing R+3.5Vermont: swing D+5.1Virginia: swing D+0.5Washington: swing D+2.0West Virginia: swing D+0.3Wisconsin: swing R+0.1Wyoming: swing D+0.5Vermont: swing D+5.1New Hampshire: swing D+2.4Massachusetts: swing R+2.0Rhode Island: swing R+1.7Connecticut: swing D+0.9New Jersey: swing R+8.2Delaware: swing D+3.3Maryland: swing D+2.1District of Columbia: swing R+3.0
Red: moved toward the Republican ticket. Blue: toward the Democratic ticket. Darker means a bigger swing.

Every state

Download CSV
State20162024SwingFlippedCounties
Florida R+1.2 R+13.1 R+11.9 County swing
California D+30.1 D+20.1 R+10.0 County swing
New York D+22.3 D+12.6 R+9.7 County swing
Hawaii D+32.2 D+23.1 R+9.1 County swing
New Jersey D+14.1 D+5.9 R+8.2 County swing
Illinois D+17.1 D+10.9 R+6.2 County swing
Nevada D+2.4 R+3.1 R+5.5 Democratic → Republican County swing
Mississippi R+17.8 R+22.9 R+5.1 County swing
Idaho R+31.8 R+36.5 R+4.7 County swing
Texas R+9.0 R+13.7 R+4.7 County swing
Iowa R+9.4 R+13.2 R+3.8 County swing
Arkansas R+26.9 R+30.6 R+3.7 County swing
Tennessee R+26.0 R+29.7 R+3.7 County swing
South Carolina R+14.3 R+17.9 R+3.6 County swing
Utah R+18.1 R+21.6 R+3.5 County swing
Ohio R+8.1 R+11.2 R+3.1 County swing
District of Columbia D+86.8 D+83.8 R+3.0 County swing
Alabama R+27.7 R+30.5 R+2.8 County swing
Louisiana R+19.6 R+22.0 R+2.4 County swing
New Mexico D+8.2 D+6.0 R+2.2 County swing
Massachusetts D+27.2 D+25.2 R+2.0 County swing
Arizona R+3.5 R+5.5 R+2.0 County swing
Rhode Island D+15.5 D+13.8 R+1.7 County swing
Michigan R+0.2 R+1.4 R+1.2 County swing
Pennsylvania R+0.7 R+1.7 R+1.0 County swing
North Dakota R+35.7 R+36.5 R+0.7 County swing
Kentucky R+29.8 R+30.5 R+0.7 County swing
Wisconsin R+0.8 R+0.9 R+0.1 County swing
Indiana R+19.2 R+19.0 D+0.2 County swing
Missouri R+18.6 R+18.4 D+0.2
West Virginia R+42.2 R+41.9 D+0.3 County swing
North Carolina R+3.7 R+3.2 D+0.5 County swing
Virginia D+5.3 D+5.8 D+0.5 County swing
Wyoming R+46.3 R+45.8 D+0.5 County swing
Montana R+20.5 R+19.9 D+0.6 County swing
South Dakota R+29.8 R+29.2 D+0.6 County swing
Connecticut D+13.6 D+14.5 D+0.9 County swing
Alaska R+14.7 R+13.1 D+1.6
Washington D+16.2 D+18.2 D+2.0 County swing
Maryland D+26.4 D+28.5 D+2.1 County swing
Oklahoma R+36.4 R+34.3 D+2.1 County swing
New Hampshire D+0.4 D+2.8 D+2.4 County swing
Minnesota D+1.5 D+4.2 D+2.7 County swing
Georgia R+5.2 R+2.2 D+3.0 County swing
Delaware D+11.4 D+14.7 D+3.3 County swing
Oregon D+11.0 D+14.3 D+3.3 County swing
Maine D+3.0 D+6.9 D+4.0
Nebraska R+25.1 R+20.6 D+4.5 County swing
Kansas R+20.6 R+16.1 D+4.5 County swing
Vermont D+26.4 D+31.5 D+5.1 County swing
Colorado D+4.9 D+11.0 D+6.1 County swing

Margins are Republican share minus Democratic share of all votes counted. Swing is the change in that margin; “R+3” means the state moved three points toward the Republican ticket.

Official results As published by The American Presidency Project (UC Santa Barbara) and the state documents it links. How we use this data