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2016 vs 2020 presidential election: swing by state

Nationally the popular vote went from D+2.0 in 2016 to D+4.5 in 2020. 8 of 51 states moved toward the Republican ticket and 5 changed hands.

Alabama: swing D+2.3Alaska: swing D+4.7Arizona: swing D+3.9 (flipped)Arkansas: swing R+0.7California: swing R+1.0Colorado: swing D+8.6Connecticut: swing D+6.4Delaware: swing D+7.6District of Columbia: swing EvenFlorida: swing R+2.2Georgia: swing D+5.4 (flipped)Hawaii: swing R+2.7Idaho: swing D+1.0Illinois: swing R+0.1Indiana: swing D+3.1Iowa: swing D+1.2Kansas: swing D+6.0Kentucky: swing D+3.9Louisiana: swing D+1.0Maine: swing D+6.1Maryland: swing D+6.8Massachusetts: swing D+6.3Michigan: swing D+3.0 (flipped)Minnesota: swing D+5.6Mississippi: swing D+1.3Missouri: swing D+3.2Montana: swing D+4.2Nebraska: swing D+5.9Nevada: swing EvenNew Hampshire: swing D+7.0New Jersey: swing D+1.8New Mexico: swing D+2.6New York: swing D+0.8North Carolina: swing D+2.3North Dakota: swing D+2.4Ohio: swing D+0.1Oklahoma: swing D+3.3Oregon: swing D+5.1Pennsylvania: swing D+1.9 (flipped)Rhode Island: swing D+5.3South Carolina: swing D+2.6South Dakota: swing D+3.6Tennessee: swing D+2.8Texas: swing D+3.4Utah: swing R+2.4Vermont: swing D+9.0Virginia: swing D+4.8Washington: swing D+3.0West Virginia: swing D+3.2Wisconsin: swing D+1.4 (flipped)Wyoming: swing D+2.9Vermont: swing D+9.0New Hampshire: swing D+7.0Massachusetts: swing D+6.3Rhode Island: swing D+5.3Connecticut: swing D+6.4New Jersey: swing D+1.8Delaware: swing D+7.6Maryland: swing D+6.8District of Columbia: swing Even
Red: moved toward the Republican ticket. Blue: toward the Democratic ticket. Darker means a bigger swing.

Every state

Download CSV
State20162020SwingFlippedCounties
Hawaii D+32.2 D+29.5 R+2.7 County swing
Utah R+18.1 R+20.5 R+2.4 County swing
Florida R+1.2 R+3.4 R+2.2 County swing
California D+30.1 D+29.2 R+1.0 County swing
Arkansas R+26.9 R+27.6 R+0.7 County swing
Illinois D+17.1 D+17.0 R+0.1 County swing
Nevada D+2.4 D+2.4 Even County swing
District of Columbia D+86.8 D+86.8 Even County swing
Ohio R+8.1 R+8.0 D+0.1 County swing
New York D+22.3 D+23.1 D+0.8 County swing
Idaho R+31.8 R+30.8 D+1.0 County swing
Louisiana R+19.6 R+18.6 D+1.0 County swing
Iowa R+9.4 R+8.2 D+1.2 County swing
Mississippi R+17.8 R+16.5 D+1.3 County swing
Wisconsin R+0.8 D+0.6 D+1.4 Republican → Democratic County swing
New Jersey D+14.1 D+15.9 D+1.8 County swing
Pennsylvania R+0.7 D+1.2 D+1.9 Republican → Democratic County swing
Alabama R+27.7 R+25.5 D+2.3 County swing
North Carolina R+3.7 R+1.3 D+2.3 County swing
North Dakota R+35.7 R+33.4 D+2.4 County swing
New Mexico D+8.2 D+10.8 D+2.6 County swing
South Carolina R+14.3 R+11.7 D+2.6 County swing
Tennessee R+26.0 R+23.2 D+2.8 County swing
Wyoming R+46.3 R+43.4 D+2.9 County swing
Washington D+16.2 D+19.2 D+3.0 County swing
Michigan R+0.2 D+2.8 D+3.0 Republican → Democratic County swing
Indiana R+19.2 R+16.1 D+3.1 County swing
West Virginia R+42.2 R+38.9 D+3.2 County swing
Missouri R+18.6 R+15.4 D+3.2
Oklahoma R+36.4 R+33.1 D+3.3 County swing
Texas R+9.0 R+5.6 D+3.4 County swing
South Dakota R+29.8 R+26.2 D+3.6 County swing
Arizona R+3.5 D+0.3 D+3.9 Republican → Democratic County swing
Kentucky R+29.8 R+25.9 D+3.9 County swing
Montana R+20.5 R+16.4 D+4.2 County swing
Alaska R+14.7 R+10.1 D+4.7
Virginia D+5.3 D+10.1 D+4.8 County swing
Oregon D+11.0 D+16.1 D+5.1 County swing
Rhode Island D+15.5 D+20.8 D+5.3 County swing
Georgia R+5.2 D+0.2 D+5.4 Republican → Democratic County swing
Minnesota D+1.5 D+7.1 D+5.6 County swing
Nebraska R+25.1 R+19.2 D+5.9 County swing
Kansas R+20.6 R+14.7 D+6.0
Maine D+3.0 D+9.1 D+6.1
Massachusetts D+27.2 D+33.5 D+6.3 County swing
Connecticut D+13.6 D+20.0 D+6.4 County swing
Maryland D+26.4 D+33.2 D+6.8 County swing
New Hampshire D+0.4 D+7.4 D+7.0 County swing
Delaware D+11.4 D+19.0 D+7.6 County swing
Colorado D+4.9 D+13.5 D+8.6 County swing
Vermont D+26.4 D+35.4 D+9.0 County swing

Margins are Republican share minus Democratic share of all votes counted. Swing is the change in that margin; “R+3” means the state moved three points toward the Republican ticket.

Official results As published by The American Presidency Project (UC Santa Barbara) and the state documents it links. How we use this data