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2000 vs 2012 presidential election: swing by state

Nationally the popular vote went from D+0.5 in 2000 to D+3.9 in 2012. 15 of 51 states moved toward the Republican ticket and 6 changed hands.

Alabama: swing R+7.3Alaska: swing D+17.0Arizona: swing R+2.8Arkansas: swing R+18.2California: swing D+11.3Colorado: swing D+13.7 (flipped)Connecticut: swing R+0.1Delaware: swing D+5.6District of Columbia: swing D+7.4Florida: swing D+0.9 (flipped)Georgia: swing D+3.9Hawaii: swing D+24.4Idaho: swing D+7.6Illinois: swing D+4.9Indiana: swing D+5.4Iowa: swing D+5.5Kansas: swing R+0.9Kentucky: swing R+7.6Louisiana: swing R+9.5Maine: swing D+10.2Maryland: swing D+9.9Massachusetts: swing R+4.2Michigan: swing D+4.4Minnesota: swing D+5.3Mississippi: swing D+5.4Missouri: swing R+6.0Montana: swing D+11.4Nebraska: swing D+7.2Nevada: swing D+10.2 (flipped)New Hampshire: swing D+6.9 (flipped)New Jersey: swing D+1.9New Mexico: swing D+10.1New York: swing D+3.1North Carolina: swing D+10.8North Dakota: swing D+8.0Ohio: swing D+6.5 (flipped)Oklahoma: swing R+11.7Oregon: swing D+11.7Pennsylvania: swing D+1.2Rhode Island: swing R+1.6South Carolina: swing D+5.5South Dakota: swing D+4.7Tennessee: swing R+16.5Texas: swing D+5.5Utah: swing R+7.6Vermont: swing D+25.7Virginia: swing D+11.9 (flipped)Washington: swing D+9.3West Virginia: swing R+20.4Wisconsin: swing D+6.6Wyoming: swing R+0.8Vermont: swing D+25.7New Hampshire: swing D+6.9 (flipped)Massachusetts: swing R+4.2Rhode Island: swing R+1.6Connecticut: swing R+0.1New Jersey: swing D+1.9Delaware: swing D+5.6Maryland: swing D+9.9District of Columbia: swing D+7.4
Red: moved toward the Republican ticket. Blue: toward the Democratic ticket. Darker means a bigger swing.

Every state

Download CSV
State20002012SwingFlippedCounties
West Virginia R+6.3 R+26.8 R+20.4 County swing
Arkansas R+5.5 R+23.7 R+18.2 County swing
Tennessee R+3.9 R+20.4 R+16.5 County swing
Oklahoma R+21.9 R+33.5 R+11.7 County swing
Louisiana R+7.7 R+17.2 R+9.5 County swing
Kentucky R+15.1 R+22.7 R+7.6 County swing
Utah R+40.5 R+48.0 R+7.6 County swing
Alabama R+14.9 R+22.2 R+7.3 County swing
Missouri R+3.3 R+9.4 R+6.0 County swing
Massachusetts D+27.3 D+23.1 R+4.2 County swing
Arizona R+6.3 R+9.1 R+2.8 County swing
Rhode Island D+29.1 D+27.5 R+1.6 County swing
Kansas R+20.8 R+21.7 R+0.9 County swing
Wyoming R+40.1 R+40.8 R+0.8 County swing
Connecticut D+17.5 D+17.3 R+0.1
Florida Even D+0.9 D+0.9 Republican → Democratic County swing
Pennsylvania D+4.2 D+5.4 D+1.2 County swing
New Jersey D+15.8 D+17.7 D+1.9 County swing
New York D+25.0 D+28.1 D+3.1 County swing
Georgia R+11.7 R+7.8 D+3.9 County swing
Michigan D+5.1 D+9.5 D+4.4 County swing
South Dakota R+22.7 R+18.0 D+4.7 County swing
Illinois D+12.0 D+16.9 D+4.9 County swing
Minnesota D+2.4 D+7.7 D+5.3 County swing
Mississippi R+16.9 R+11.5 D+5.4 County swing
Indiana R+15.6 R+10.2 D+5.4 County swing
South Carolina R+15.9 R+10.5 D+5.5 County swing
Iowa D+0.3 D+5.8 D+5.5 County swing
Texas R+21.3 R+15.8 D+5.5 County swing
Delaware D+13.1 D+18.6 D+5.6 County swing
Ohio R+3.6 D+3.0 D+6.5 Republican → Democratic County swing
Wisconsin D+0.2 D+6.8 D+6.6 County swing
New Hampshire R+1.3 D+5.6 D+6.9 Republican → Democratic County swing
Nebraska R+29.0 R+21.8 D+7.2 County swing
District of Columbia D+76.2 D+83.6 D+7.4 County swing
Idaho R+39.5 R+31.9 D+7.6 County swing
North Dakota R+27.6 R+19.6 D+8.0 County swing
Washington D+5.6 D+14.9 D+9.3 County swing
Maryland D+16.2 D+26.1 D+9.9 County swing
New Mexico D+0.1 D+10.2 D+10.1 County swing
Maine D+5.1 D+15.3 D+10.2
Nevada R+3.5 D+6.7 D+10.2 Republican → Democratic County swing
North Carolina R+12.8 R+2.0 D+10.8 County swing
California D+11.8 D+23.1 D+11.3 County swing
Montana R+25.1 R+13.7 D+11.4 County swing
Oregon D+0.4 D+12.1 D+11.7 County swing
Virginia R+8.0 D+3.9 D+11.9 Republican → Democratic County swing
Colorado R+8.4 D+5.4 D+13.7 Republican → Democratic County swing
Alaska R+31.0 R+14.0 D+17.0
Hawaii D+18.3 D+42.7 D+24.4 County swing
Vermont D+9.9 D+35.6 D+25.7 County swing

Margins are Republican share minus Democratic share of all votes counted. Swing is the change in that margin; “R+3” means the state moved three points toward the Republican ticket.

Official results As published by The American Presidency Project (UC Santa Barbara) and the state documents it links. How we use this data